Embedded Systems Conference
Breaking News
Blog

Why I ignore most "extrapolations"

NO RATINGS
View Comments: Newest First | Oldest First | Threaded View
Carlos1966
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Carlos1966   4/21/2011 2:43:26 PM
NO RATINGS
Dragons, I see you don't believe in the law of the excluded middle.:-)

Peter Clarke
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Peter Clarke   4/18/2011 9:19:04 AM
NO RATINGS
But not to do statistics!

HereBeDragons
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
HereBeDragons   4/18/2011 4:21:38 AM
NO RATINGS
Statistics can prove anything: About 30% of traffic accidents are caused by drunk drivers. Therefore 60% of accidents are caused by sober drivers. Therefore it's safer to drive drunk than sober!!!

M. Oza
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
M. Oza   4/14/2011 1:55:19 PM
NO RATINGS
Hello Jeff; Mathematically, you just summed up the entire article by Bill Schweber with three equations.

Jeff.Petro
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Jeff.Petro   4/11/2011 2:43:00 PM
NO RATINGS
Take the fraction 0/0 (zero over zero). Using extrapolation this is equal to 0, 1 or infinity. 0/3 = 0/2 = 0/1 = 0 therefore 0/0 = 0 3/3 = 2/2 = 1/1 = 1 therefore 0/0 = 1 3/0 = 2/0 = 1/0 = infinity therefore 0/0 = infinity With the ability to skew the numbers like this, I think I missed my calling as a marketer (or politician)

David Ashton
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
David Ashton   4/3/2011 9:49:04 AM
NO RATINGS
Who was it who said "There are Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics"? (Just googled, Mark Twain popularised it but attributed it to Benjamin Disraeli, but that's doubtful....) Very applicable here though, bad statistics and bad extrapolations are closely related. At this rate, nothing we read in a couple of years time will be able to be believed.... :-)

ndancer
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
ndancer   3/31/2011 8:30:44 PM
NO RATINGS
At this rate, statistically inaccuracies will totally overwhelm us and swamp us fifty feet deep under discarded AOL CD's in less that twenty-leben years!

fajita
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
fajita   3/31/2011 4:16:39 PM
NO RATINGS
i love that innumeracy book! i've been using that on all my Lit Major friends for decades! i agree with this article thoroughly, but i do want to make sure we remember the miracle of quasi-math laws: moore's law. that thing is the one and only legitimate one, and it's been in effect for nearly 40 years, though we may be finally coming to the end of it (how many times has that been said about moore's law??).

Rick Nelson
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Rick Nelson   3/31/2011 3:02:17 PM
NO RATINGS
What quasi-mathematical statements turn me off? Predictions about lost productivity (usually in the $millions or $billions) because of some sporting or other event that will distract workers.

Silicon_Smith
User Rank
Author
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Silicon_Smith   3/31/2011 2:27:33 PM
NO RATINGS
Thats why we have supercomputers calculating system dynamics for critical projects like nuclear energy, space vehicles and global economy. No trending there.

More Blogs
Awareness of the nature of test capacity and the need for a common tool to manage it can help companies obtain anticipated synergies.
It will be interesting to see how IceStorm plays out, and what the imagination and creativity of the open-source world will give us.
The American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN) has sent out an alert saying its share of the dwindling IPv4 addresses is near rock bottom, so it is going to a stricter procedure for approving requests for those that are left.
If you can remember back to 1994, then take a shot at naming these test instruments.
Executives from Parrot, Qualcomm, small UAV lobby group and ex-FAA chief will join the drone debate at EE Times radio show, 9:00a.m., Pacific time, on Thursday, July 9th.
Flash Poll
Like Us on Facebook

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed
Top Comments of the Week