Breaking News
Blog

Why I ignore most "extrapolations"

NO RATINGS
View Comments: Newest First | Oldest First | Threaded View
Carlos1966
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Carlos1966   4/21/2011 2:43:26 PM
NO RATINGS
Dragons, I see you don't believe in the law of the excluded middle.:-)

Peter Clarke
User Rank
Blogger
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Peter Clarke   4/18/2011 9:19:04 AM
NO RATINGS
But not to do statistics!

HereBeDragons
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
HereBeDragons   4/18/2011 4:21:38 AM
NO RATINGS
Statistics can prove anything: About 30% of traffic accidents are caused by drunk drivers. Therefore 60% of accidents are caused by sober drivers. Therefore it's safer to drive drunk than sober!!!

M. Oza
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
M. Oza   4/14/2011 1:55:19 PM
NO RATINGS
Hello Jeff; Mathematically, you just summed up the entire article by Bill Schweber with three equations.

Jeff.Petro
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Jeff.Petro   4/11/2011 2:43:00 PM
NO RATINGS
Take the fraction 0/0 (zero over zero). Using extrapolation this is equal to 0, 1 or infinity. 0/3 = 0/2 = 0/1 = 0 therefore 0/0 = 0 3/3 = 2/2 = 1/1 = 1 therefore 0/0 = 1 3/0 = 2/0 = 1/0 = infinity therefore 0/0 = infinity With the ability to skew the numbers like this, I think I missed my calling as a marketer (or politician)

David Ashton
User Rank
Blogger
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
David Ashton   4/3/2011 9:49:04 AM
NO RATINGS
Who was it who said "There are Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics"? (Just googled, Mark Twain popularised it but attributed it to Benjamin Disraeli, but that's doubtful....) Very applicable here though, bad statistics and bad extrapolations are closely related. At this rate, nothing we read in a couple of years time will be able to be believed.... :-)

ndancer
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
ndancer   3/31/2011 8:30:44 PM
NO RATINGS
At this rate, statistically inaccuracies will totally overwhelm us and swamp us fifty feet deep under discarded AOL CD's in less that twenty-leben years!

fajita
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
fajita   3/31/2011 4:16:39 PM
NO RATINGS
i love that innumeracy book! i've been using that on all my Lit Major friends for decades! i agree with this article thoroughly, but i do want to make sure we remember the miracle of quasi-math laws: moore's law. that thing is the one and only legitimate one, and it's been in effect for nearly 40 years, though we may be finally coming to the end of it (how many times has that been said about moore's law??).

Rick Nelson
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Rick Nelson   3/31/2011 3:02:17 PM
NO RATINGS
What quasi-mathematical statements turn me off? Predictions about lost productivity (usually in the $millions or $billions) because of some sporting or other event that will distract workers.

Silicon_Smith
User Rank
Rookie
re: Why I ignore most "extrapolations"
Silicon_Smith   3/31/2011 2:27:33 PM
NO RATINGS
Thats why we have supercomputers calculating system dynamics for critical projects like nuclear energy, space vehicles and global economy. No trending there.

More Blogs
Smart thermostats are not only for the well-to-do. One group is developing them to help keep tenement dwellers warm.
LG's G Watch R and Samsung's Gear S do little to shake up the wearable market. Perhaps Apple's upcoming device will.
Do you understand the consequences of California's new smartphone anti-theft law? Our FAQ will clear up the confusion.
Remember the names of these test-equipment companies? Most are long gone, but a few remain.
Custom system-on-chip from parent company mCube enables Ten Degrees to tackle indoor navigation with higher probability of success.
Flash Poll
Radio
LATEST ARCHIVED BROADCAST
EE Times editor Junko Yoshida grills two executives --Rick Walker, senior product marketing manager for IoT and home automation for CSR, and Jim Reich, CTO and co-founder at Palatehome.
Like Us on Facebook

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed