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After Moore’s Law — What?

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paul.jhnson
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There is nothing after
paul.jhnson   5/6/2017 11:34:24 PM
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There is nothing to replace Moore's Law. If there was, we'd be doing it. The article says it already "refinements of semiconductor process technologies". There will be evolution without revolution via Si Photonics, etc.

srikhi
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Why can't we just let Moore's Law be?
srikhi   5/5/2017 8:57:14 PM
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Any discussion about integration schemes such as hetrogeneous integration, 3D, and co-integration of packaging and wafers, is framed as a versus of Moore's Law.  It is presented as an ALTERNATIVE, or MORE THAN MOORE, or AFTER MOORE.  Why?  Heterogeneous integration schemes have been in development and use for a long time.  They serve very specific purposes and wherever they bring function and exonomic value, they have been applied (for example "2.5D" integration schemes such as EMIB from Intel). These are not in place of Moore's Law, they are in addition to it.   The industry is not obsessed with mindless shrinking, the industry is obsessed with persisting with the continued extraction of economic value from Moore's Law.  If and when such economic value ceases to be delivered, Moore's Law will be enshrined in our museum.  Until then, it is a good obsession to try and delay that point. I think the obsession that needs shedding is the one some of us have with the demise of Moore's Law.  We erroneously view Moore's Law as legacy waiting to yield to a new Era, a villain that will be vanquished by the next revolution worthy of labels such as silicon 4.0, an already dead tune of our industry that we can no longer sing to.  I think we should just let Moore's Law be. We should let the chasers of Moore's Law chase.  Ultimately, it is not our brilliant analysis, rather economics, which will determine when that chase ends.

resistion
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No easy answer
resistion   5/5/2017 9:38:17 AM
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It's easy to point to 3D, heterogeneous direction, but although that is definitely value-adding, the cost is still additive. The controlling circuitry for each stacked plane is cumulatively consuming area at the bottom.

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