MANHASSET, N.Y. Despite strong year-end 2004 growth, a delayed recovery in Japan and a cautious outlook in the U.S. have led market research firm IDC to downgrade its expectations for worldwide PC shipments in 2005.
The updated forecast from IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker lowers the growth in global PC shipments for 2005 from 10.1 percent to 9.7 percent.
The good news, according to IDC, is that demand is likely to shift into later years and the growth forecast remains above 8 percent through the end of 2009. Total shipments are expected to reach 195.4 million in 2005 with total shipment value growing by 5.3 percent to $209 billion.
Shipments are projected to reach 273 million in 2009 with a value of $245 billion.
"Despite fears of slowing growth, particularly in the U.S. consumer segment, the PC market was fairly robust in the fourth quarter of 2004 with strong demand in the consumer and business segments," said Loren Loverde, director of IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker. "While overall growth in 2005 will be slower than 2004, we expect to see continued strength in portables and in emerging markets."
On a regional basis, U.S. sales are expected to slow to 7.6 percent this year, with Western Europe growing 20 percent, Japan 12 percent, and the remainder of the Asia-Pacific region projected to be in the low to mid double-digit range.