LONDON The market for nonvolatile memory intellectual property was $23 million in 2008, down 6.3 percent from 2007, according to market analysis company Gartner Inc. Gartner expects the market to grow 3 percent in 2009
However, beyond 2009, even as chip design activity in leading-edge process nodes gains momentum, the NVM IP market will grow no more than 3 percent year over year through 2013, Gartner said.
Gartner said the reason for this is that average selling prices per megabyte will fall on slightly slower than the unit shipment growth. NVM royalty revenue growth will remain stagnant throughout the period.
Gartner predicted that alternative memory technologies would come through over the next five years to get round the scaling limitations of floating-gate CMOS nonvolatile memory. But nonetheless customers for NVM IP licensing deals would be hard to come by.
Flash memory is set to grow over the next five years even as antifuse and gate-oxide breakdown-based memories emerge. But trade-offs and limitations of flash memory are set to inhibit the market, Gartner said.
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