Gesture recognition has been a research curiosity for years, with a lot of admirable work languishing in the lab despite the seemingly obvious appeal of hands-free operation. Now PrimeSense Ltd.'s design win in Project Natal, which resulted in the Kinect hands-free controller for the Xbox 360, may have yielded the killer app the field needed. The accelerometer- and gyroscope-based Wii baton piqued the public's interest in more innovative user interfaces.
But moving the recognition hardware into the console, leaving the user's hands free, is (pardon the pun) a game changer. The perceived success of hands-free interfaces like Kinect will motivate companies like Canesta (recently acquired by Microsoft), Hillcrest Labs and Movea to begin offering hands-free interfaces for such other platforms as TVs and notebook computers. In fact, the next best step might be the development of a standard lexicon of "gestures for control."
Microsoft's Xbox Kinect controller puts the smarts in its camera and gessture recognition algorithms instead of in a complex handheld controller, leaving the user's hands free.
About 1/2 the technologies listed are already in limited use in 2010. Wireless medical, automotive radar, 3-D. I am somewhat concerned about personal power management. I see it as a double-edged sword. If you are using too much power your utility has the capability to shut you off.
This is a very good list. Medical Electronics will progress much faster rate such as CRT Optimization for Heart Failure. PH and FRET for DNA is an interesting subject also. We will see Personal Genome Machine and many related electronics.
If you search these key words, you can get information.
NFC was originally on the list, but since it is already a solved problem, even though it is rolling out in the U.S. in 2011, we decided that other less familiar technologies would be better fits in our forward looking list.
I suspect that we'll see a lot from electronic paper in 2011. It's been in a couple of e-readers for a few years now and I'd guess it's about time for it to take the next step with increased response speeds and reduced costs. I'm not sure color will be available in 2011 though. Maybe 2012.
With those improvements, a new set of applications will open up in the coming year. We may not see many of the commercial products, but we'll see the raw displays come out ready to be put into commercial products.
And, just what are those new applications? Too many to list, but I can speculate on a few.
Modal safety and regulatory labeling. Labeling has become less and less effective as there are more and more things to warn about. However, quite often, the warnings needed are different depending on the state of the device (off, standby, full-on, etc.) By putting labels for each possible condition, all of them can become lost in the noise. With e-paper, the warnings can be modal and thus very prominent and customized for each needed condition.
Instructional and operational check-lists. This application isn't that different than e-readers, but it could benefit from specialization for the task. With costs down, that specialized product could be commercially viable.
Advertising. We're already seeing a few early-adopter forays into e-paper advertising, but again, with a reduction in costs, it will proliferate into all sorts of annoying and intrusive places.
Agreed. Automatic Radar needs to become more ubiquitous, to compensate for the increase in reckless driving due to more and more drivers using other new technologies -- mobile handsets, GPS, etc. -- when instead they should be paying attention to the road!
The Microsoft Kinect Add-on system and associated technologies should open up a whole world of new 3D interactive applications in the future. After struggling to be the standout in the game field Microsoft seem to have done their homework this time. I would expect to see an increase in patent cross-licensing agreements and litigation between the industry players in the next few years. I can't wait to see an application of the Kinect system on a 3D television. A "virtual environment 3D gaming" will be be the future.
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