LONDON – The processor architecture of ARM Holdings plc, which is not present in the market for desktop, mobile or x86 servers at present, is going to grab more than 13 percent market share by 2015, according to market research firm International Data Corp. (IDC).
In the first quarter of 2011 Intel is the market leader with 80.8 percdent unit market share while Advanced Micro Devices earned 18.9 percent and Via Technologies earned 0.2 percent. This totals 99.9 percent leaving other architectures in the rounding noise.
Intel had a larger market share in the mobile sector in 1Q11 with 86.3 percent share while AMD was losing market share with 13.4 percent.
The forthcoming report, Worldwide PC Microprocessor 2011-2015 Market Forecast provides an outlook by server,desktop and mobile PC category and includes unit shipments by processor architecture including x86 and ARM.
I agree with Clarke. China may be able to come up a new architecture. However, they will need time to develop the leading edge manufacturing process.
The trend of ARM is happening. If the rumor, http://www.eetimes.com/message-board/other/4215788/Rumor-of-Apple-replacing-Intel-with-ARM is true, the percentage growth may even be higher.
I think you could be right.
Although China came up with a China-MIPS called Godson or Loongson in the middle of the last decade. And that effort, while technically successful, does not seem to have been so commercially.
China does not yet have the manufacturing capability to get to the leading edge and challenge Intel, ARM but there are plenty of foundries outside China willing to lend a hand
Hmm... actually, during the period 2011-2015, the Chinese could come up with some kind of "Chintel processor", with comparable performance to Intel processors, not compatible, running Android, Win, ... and at a fraction of the price. In such case the market shares could change a lot ...
David Patterson, known for his pioneering research that led to RAID, clusters and more, is part of a team at UC Berkeley that recently made its RISC-V processor architecture an open source hardware offering. We talk with Patterson and one of his colleagues behind the effort about the opportunities they see, what new kinds of designs they hope to enable and what it means for today’s commercial processor giants such as Intel, ARM and Imagination Technologies.