SAN FRANCISCO—PC shipments are expected to increase by 13 percent this year compared to 2010, according to market research firm IC Insights, which includes media tablets in the PC category.
After growing by 19 percent in 2010, PC shipments in 2011 are expected to rise to 402 million units thanks to thanks to the rapid spread of PC sales in developing countries and the consumer market's year-old love affair with tablet-style touch-screen computers, IC Insights (Scottsdale, Ariz.) said. According to an update to the firm's 2011 Integrated Circuit Market Drivers report, sales of tablet PCs in the mold of Apple's iPad are forecast to grow more than 190 percent to 49 million systems in 2011, IC Insights said.
Other market research firms consider iPad and Android-based media tablets to be a separate category of consumer electronics devices. Market research firm IHS iSuppli said earlier this week that PC sales declined year-over-year in the first quarter, inpart because of consumer interest in tablets.
IC Insights said the surge in tablets and a 14 percent increase in sales of standard notebook computers is expected to drive up total portable PC shipments by 23 percent to 250 million systems worldwide this year, following 30 percent growth in 2010. Portable computers are forecast to account for 62 percent of worldwide PC shipments in 2011, compared to 58 percent of the total in 2010 and just 31 percent in 2005. The firm said.
I feel PC growth will grow till tablet's start offer the same computational capabilities as that of PC. Tablet's is more user friendly for web browsing and email checking, not sure if we can run high end computational intensive tasks on tablets.
PC and tablet will still grow, there might be possible that the early users of tablets will drive the yoy growth of tablet but i expect it to saturate. I also expect that PC will have a higher share that tablet just because of the multi-functionality nature and broad scope.
A tablet is a display surface with computing power behind it and user inputs. Is that a PC? Maybe. Is it a TV? Arguably, yes. The lines are becoming very blurry these days. I don't know that many of these will have a Microsoft OS, much less a heavy application suite like Office. This must be driving the analysts nuts, since they are trying to linearly predict a nonlinear future.
I too agree that the predictions are very debatable, but for a different reason.
I think that the forecast for tablets market share in 2014 is hyped-up more than it deserves to be. In my view, after the early tech-adopters interest settles down, the tablet market would settle to somewhere between 10%-15% of overall PC market.
Ofcourse, I am assuming a disruptive technology based on tablets doesn't emerge by 2014!
If a Tablet, with close to PC functionality, is priced at the range of a netbook, more people will be benefit from it. Some of the students in developing countries will be able to use a PC to improve learning experience. The growth of Tablet may be high than expected, would it?