MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.--At Nokia World in London on Wednesday (Oct. 26), the Finnish phone maker unveiled its first two Windows Phone powered devices, the Nokia Lumia 800 and the Nokia Lumia 710, running Windows Phone 7.5 Mango.
The higher end Lumia 800 with its 3.7-inch AMOLED display, 1.4 GHz processor, 8 megapixel Carl Zeiss camera and 16GB of embedded memory is targeted to compete with the likes of Apple's iPhone 4S and Samsung’s Galaxy S II, while the Lumia 710 ith a 5 megapixel camera and 8GB of embedded memory is aimed more at the mid-tier segment. Both phones boast a 1450MAh battery.
“This is a slim and sleek, well designed phone, featuring a best in class camera and it has some strong key selling points,” said IDC’s Francisco Jeronimo of the Lumia 800, though he admitted the phone may have trouble competing in a market where Android and iOS still dominate.
The Lumia 710, he said, was more of a dark horse in that it had surprised the mid-tier segment with a device it wasn’t expecting until the second quarter of 2012.
“This is the most affordable 1.4 GHz processor device, a mid price-tier handset with high-end specs,” he said.
Jeronimo said he felt Nokia had “come a long way” over the past year, noting that Stephen Elop’s reign as CEO and the firm’s "180-degrees" shift in strategy seemed to be paying off.
“Stephen Elop stepped in as CEO of the biggest phone maker in the world, defined a new strategy and a new paradigm for Nokia, executed it and over exceeded expectations by delivering not only one, but two new Windows devices,” he said adding “Nokia seems to have now what lacked for years, speed to adjust to the market’s pace.”
Not all analysts were as impressed as Jeronimo, however, with Jack Gold of Gold Associates positing that Nokia had missed an opportunity at the event and was still not showing the level of revitalization needed to turn the company around.
“I’m left with many questions after the announcements. How do the new devices fit into a diverse environment in an enterprise setting? Where are the enterprise tools to deploy, activate secure and manage them? What is the Nokia Value Add on top of plane Windows Phone? What did they do to enhance the Windows Phone platform beyond what Microsoft offers? Nokia seemed to show once again that they understand how to make appealing hardware, but fell short in service offerings that could differentiate them in the market, especially with the important business user,” said Gold.
“Samsung makes a nice Windows phone, as does HTC. Why would a consumer choose a Nokia device?” he added.
Ironically, Jeronimo counters that the likes of Samsung and HTC may be just what Nokia needs to help drive sales, by raising the profile of the Windows operating system, which currently only holds 2 percent of the smartphone market.
IDC estimates that as a result of well established brands like Samsung, HTC and LG pushing out devices with a Windows Phone operating system, Microsoft should see its mobile software grow to take a market share of 11 percent by 2012 and possibly become the second biggest smartphone operating system by 2015, with 20 percent market share, behind Android and ahead of iOS.
Those predictions, however, would likely hinge on Nokia delivering devices into the U.S. market. The Lumia 800 and 710 will apparently only be available in selected markets across Europe, with the firm holding off on a U.S. launch until early next year, once LTE stabilizes.
Microsoft’s restrictive policy on changing the operating system’s user interface could also make it difficult for phone makers to differentiate their offerings based on Windows Phone, which could make it a hard sell to consumers.
“Nokia will need to leverage its hardware expertise, but the differentiation will come from their unique services that other vendors cannot easily match,” said Jeronimo. Gold, however, argues that Nokia has still not shown how it adds value to the Microsoft standard OS and that launching at premium pricing level (420 euros, or about $599 before subsidies) is risky in a market where the iPhone 4S costs the same.
“Nokia is competing against the market leaders at about the same pricing level. There is no advantage taken by Nokia in trying to get back into the marketplace at a reasonable price with a premium product,” Gold said.
Indeed, Nokia has been losing significant share in the smartphone segment since 2007 and as Jeronimo notes, “It will take a lot more than just a couple of phones to bring Nokia back.”
The new devices launched today, however, may be an “excellent first step” in Jeronimo’s opinion and more significantly, a sign that Nokia can “change its culture, readapt and refocus on growth.”
At the moment, the only feature it can really talk about is maps. Lumia devices will apparently run Nokia Maps, which is arguably the most widely available free mobile navigation service. It also has the most number of languages and country support compared to any other mapping service available today. Oh, and the Lumia 800 comes with in-car navigation, too. Granted, that's not really a reason why people buy new phones... but you never know.
And the camera is pretty great too.
But yeah, Nokia really has to step up its feature set!
Lovely hardware, but what about the apps ecosystem?
Aside from that, what I really want to know is how does IDC come up with these estimates: "Microsoft should see its mobile software grow to take a market share of 11 percent by 2012 and possibly become the second biggest smartphone operating system by 2015, with 20 percent market share, behind Android and ahead of iOS."
Yeah, and the Dow could hit 15,000 in 2012 and 25,000 by 2015. Why? Because an analyst said so...
You're 100% right Frank.... I wish I knew how they came up with those numbers too... but they won't tell me. It's all "based on market analysis and projections"... sigh.
Honestly, and you can remind me of this is 2015... if WP reaches 20% market share... I will eat my shorts. seriously.
Looks like Nokia may have picked an operating system because it was not the most popular (or even close) and that in itself is a differentiator. But Frank is absolutely right about the apps ecosystem since that seems to be a major factor in the decision of which phone to purchase (although some people really don't care about or want extra apps).
Windows Phone will have 20% market share? I don't believe that for a second. It may be a fine smartphone OS, but consumers haven't responded in the year its been out. What makes them think they'll suddenly respond now just because Nokia got on board?
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