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Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years

7/20/2012 07:11 PM EDT
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goafrit
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
goafrit   7/20/2012 7:36:05 PM
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I have a lot of confidence in this Musk genius. No need to argue with this legend. If you cannot do it, he will do it himself.

Bert22306
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Bert22306   7/20/2012 8:29:17 PM
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I think the term "fully electric" is the key here. Cars like the Volt come close, but are actually hybrids. However, all it takes is a design like the Volt, however with a totally electric drive train (no weaseling about a mechanical link between engine and drivetrain in highway driving), and you have a "fully electric" car. Alternatively, replace the ICE with a fuel cell, and generate H2 on board with a H2 separator, and that's also "fully electric." What I do not see in the tea leaves is that battery technology is going to cut it, in 12 to 15 years, not as the primary energy storage device anyway. Battery electrics may become a little more prevalent, but their range limitations and "refueling" times are just too severe liabilities for general purpose cars.

george.leopold
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
george.leopold   7/20/2012 9:57:25 PM
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That's what he done so far in commercial space.

_hm
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
_hm   7/21/2012 12:48:51 AM
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So new chapter in auto industry is near horizon. Musk's prediction and effort to achieve this is very remarkable. It will happen so.

prabhakar_deosthali
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
prabhakar_deosthali   7/21/2012 10:53:38 AM
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Tesla's prediction looks something out of reach today. But the technology sometimes moves at some unpredictable pace once it is out of its incubation period. The main hurdle in bringing Tesla's prediction to reality is the Battery -cost, range per charge and weight. With some breakthroughs already in sight in this area , Tesla's prediction looks to be promsing enough to put one's bet on.

Patk0317
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Patk0317   7/21/2012 2:34:47 PM
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If he means battery powered, we need to remember that the electricity to charge then battery comes mainly from fossil fuels. So in the long run it doesn't make a greener car - where does the battery go when it wears out? If he is thinkiing a new technology like hydrogen then maybe it could happen if there is a breakthrough in the next couple of years.

PJames
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
PJames   7/21/2012 10:35:16 PM
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True enough that today's electricity isn't all that green... but come on... where do you think hydrogen comes from? Fossil fuel to wheels, which is what all of them are (discounting nuclear and renewable in the electric mix), battery electrics are least pollution/CO2 of the three options.

t.alex
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
t.alex   7/22/2012 1:04:54 AM
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He will need to make it like iPhone. People still buy even though hey need to charge every half a day.

Sanjib.A
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Sanjib.A   7/22/2012 6:46:29 AM
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I agree with you. Energy crisis will increase if the dependency on the fossil fuel for generating electricity remains predominant. In the next 15 years time, may be, there could be a breakthrough in the solar or other greener technologies for generating electricity, which could make this easier? If the efficiency of the PV cells are increased to 50%?

Bert22306
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re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Bert22306   7/22/2012 10:17:13 PM
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Actually, all depends on where you live. There are articles online that explain this. Battery electrics, in much of the US, do not reduce CO2 emissions, because the electricity is generated from coal. Now some of that is being replaced by natural gas, so it may help some. And then there is the problem of the spent batteries. My take is, switching over to all electric drive trains will help, because it makes the car more efficient. And switching the main power source from ICE to fuel cells, with the H2 extracted on board from a hydrocarbon fuel (rather than storing H2 in tanks), should also reduce C02 emissions by a lot. The process is supposed to be about twice as efficient as the ICE, i.e. around 60 percent vs 30 percent. So, in my view, you don't pretend to solve the (supposed) problem in one fell swoop. But you can manage it a lot better.

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