Design Con 2015
Breaking News
News & Analysis

Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions

9/7/2012 00:25 AM EDT
21 comments
NO RATINGS
More Related Links
View Comments: Threaded | Newest First | Oldest First
krh
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krh   9/7/2012 5:01:40 AM
NO RATINGS
I have always said (maybe I read it somewhere)...leave something for your kids to do. Dr. Samueli, don't know if my kids are tending to be EEs, but if they do...hope they take your vision as a challenge.

Turkman
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
Turkman   9/7/2012 1:09:27 PM
NO RATINGS
Am I the only one to have read Samueli's quotes in Christopher Walken's voice?

mcgrathdylan
User Rank
Blogger
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
mcgrathdylan   9/7/2012 5:05:50 PM
NO RATINGS
@Turkman- No, for some reason I did that, too.

WaveMan0
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
WaveMan0   9/10/2012 5:40:23 PM
NO RATINGS
Good call...check out Walken on SNL and his skit "more cowbell"

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krisi   9/7/2012 5:07:40 PM
NO RATINGS
"Most of the predictions are just linear extrapolations" I agree with his assesstment. But his own predictions of things being faster and smaller seem to belong to the same category...Kris

rick merritt
User Rank
Author
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
rick merritt   9/7/2012 11:04:07 PM
NO RATINGS
I didn't put this in but he said the really hard part is predicting the applications space. What will people do with smartphones that have 16 core apps processors running at 5 GHz, a Gbit/s cellular link and all digital radios? Methinks we need something more than touch screens and apps!

Battar
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
Battar   9/10/2012 3:10:03 PM
NO RATINGS
Rick, mobile computing devices can get smarter, but people won't. In the future, Angry Birds will have better graphics, more accurate ballistic projections, and virtual surround sound, but the app is still just a game

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krisi   9/10/2012 3:50:12 PM
NO RATINGS
I agree @Battar, better Angry Birds is not a compelling future!

sam7san
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
sam7san   9/10/2012 5:27:36 PM
NO RATINGS
One immediate application will be virtual image as you use your smartphone or a similar system. More will come in this space...stay tuned.

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krisi   9/7/2012 11:07:50 PM
NO RATINGS
I agree Rick, we need something that is revolutionary different...at least give Google glasses, mind reading systems with a smart hat picking up your brainwaves, or personal lavitation devices to move around ;-)

PV-Geek
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
PV-Geek   9/8/2012 2:05:05 AM
NO RATINGS
I think that history shows that we will be surprised by what actually happens. Project all you want, you can't predict innovation. I still marvel at my iphone every day.

pinhead1
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
pinhead1   9/10/2012 5:05:54 PM
NO RATINGS
I agree. I think "it" will be something that the majority of us will not have seen coming. Coffee mugs or shoes or bicycles with embedded processors, or something that sounds just as preposterous as a smart phone sounded 10 years ago.

seaEE
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
seaEE   9/8/2012 2:27:40 AM
NO RATINGS
What new discoveries in physics and chemistry will ultimately find themselves in the engineer's toolbox? What will differentiate between incremental and revolutionary?

agk
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
agk   9/10/2012 1:07:25 PM
NO RATINGS
As the data speed increases communications become more effective and so good under standing between people. So we see bright future.I also just think of 32kbit modems used 15 years back.

docdivakar
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
docdivakar   9/10/2012 6:41:17 PM
NO RATINGS
"Home gateways will hit 100 Gbit/s data rates..." amuses me, if one were to take the extrapolation from the 10Gbps example. The standard was ratified 10 years ago and only now we see servers are shipping in volume (though the switches were available 4 years ago but suffered the wrath of excessive power consumption). Most home users have computers with Gigabit connectivity but data ratesare a couple of Mbit/s or worse. Assuming terabit switching at the core by 2020 in similar volumes at 10Gig switches are today, it would be a stretch to see 100Gig at home gateways, even with exponential scaling in speeds... just my cynical opinion! MP Divakar

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krisi   9/10/2012 8:19:05 PM
NO RATINGS
and even if 100 Gb/s home gateway happens, what are we going to do with that bandwidth? watch 4 HD movies simultanously?!

Turkman
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
Turkman   9/10/2012 9:18:44 PM
NO RATINGS
Download a movie instantly and take it with you to view on your mobile device.

docdivakar
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
docdivakar   9/11/2012 10:15:16 PM
NO RATINGS
I am compelled to recall an album "Amused to Death" by one of my favourite artists, Roger Waters... we will all be amusing ourselves with 100Gig home gateways, if it ever materializes in the remaining years of my life! MP Divakar

F-Steinway
User Rank
Rookie
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
F-Steinway   9/12/2012 1:53:30 PM
NO RATINGS
What is the use of such predictions, except for journalists? Why is there always someone predicting what will happen in 10 or 20 years? Can anyone tell what will happen in 1 year, or 1 day? The most favorable prediction is about how much money will be earned. The opposite is interesting too: how much money was not earned because some copied something, because of counterfeiting. It never is about something social e.g. how many people get a job or families earning more money. If what the employees earn would be on the positive side of the balance sheet, this would look different and change slowly economics, even improve for people I think.

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Broadcom's Samueli makes 15-year predictions
krisi   9/12/2012 2:03:34 PM
NO RATINGS
I guess predictions are used as a vehicle to wonder about the future, they don't have any intrinsic value...predicting what would happen in 1-day is not difficult, most of the time nothing would do...the same with weather forecast, the safest one for tomorrow is that the weather will be the same, this is the most accurate prediction...Kris

Flash Poll
Like Us on Facebook

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed
Top Comments of the Week