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Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law

3/7/2013 07:43 PM EST
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nastaynas
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
nastaynas   3/8/2013 4:30:17 AM
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At least Mr. Moore has enjoyed his fame for a while

AntoineB
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
AntoineB   3/8/2013 9:03:49 AM
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Moore's law might have been based on observation at first, but it has changed. It is now nothing more than an implicite objective followed by semiconductor companies. They adapt their efforts in order to reach this objective. If Moore's law has been "correct" for so long it is only because SC companies made it correct. I don't think it is of any statistical relevance nowadays.

CharlieCL
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
CharlieCL   3/8/2013 2:16:11 PM
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@AntoineB Agree. Moore's Law is not a Law. It is a theory for SC companies to spend money.

Comfortable
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Comfortable   3/8/2013 3:01:59 PM
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A physical law,according to the Oxford English dictionary, is "a theoretical principle deduced from particular facts, applicable to a defined group or class of phenomena, and expressible by the statement that a particular phenomenon always occurs if certain conditions be present." John Nash received a Nobel Prize on game theory with lots of mathematical equations describing how humans interact. As engineers, let's not always look at things so black and white.

Larry M
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Larry M   3/8/2013 4:11:45 PM
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Fermat's Last Theorem really should have been named Fermat's Last Conjecture.

Larry M
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Larry M   3/8/2013 4:15:24 PM
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To be more precise, John Nash won the Nobel Prize for Economics, not exactly a deterministic or exact science, and only provable by statistical measures. (There is no Nobel Prize for Mathematics.)

Duane Benson
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Duane Benson   3/8/2013 4:20:19 PM
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There's also Duane's law, which is corollary to the two-car garage syndrome. Even if not by name, many people are likely familiar with. It states that no matter how large your garage is, the amount of stuff you accumulate will fill it such that there is never more than just less then enough room required to put one car in. That, by inference leads to Duane's law which postulates that no matter what the performance of your computer system, the operating system will lug it down to the point at which it performs at a level just slightly less than the first computer you ever owned. Unfortunately, Duane's law has a tendency negate the effects of Moore's law and presumably the others.

DWilde10
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
DWilde10   3/8/2013 4:43:36 PM
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Which is why even Intel finally loves Linux on x86, finally, Duane [my opinion, not my employer Intel's]. AFA Moore's law, whether it was ever "true" or not, it sure drove a revolution we've all benefited from. I'm not sure whether Wright's correlation really means a whole lot, it's one of those "yeah, so?"s. Gordon Moore caught the imagination of a generation of engineers, and the rest is history.

WHP
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
WHP   3/8/2013 4:46:01 PM
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Duane, I think everyone has observed that phenomenon but I think you may be the first to actually give it a name. So as far as I'm concerned, Duane's Law it is.

georgegrimes
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re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
georgegrimes   3/8/2013 5:15:59 PM
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This discussion would not be complete without someone point out that Moore never claimed that it was a "law". Everything that I've read from him called it his "observation". That was his preference.

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