Milanesi said the forecasted
decline of PC sales in 2013 is not a temporary trend induced by a more
austere economic environment, but a reflection of a long-term change in
user behavior. Gartner does expect ultramobiles—small form factor
computers—to help offset the forecasted decline in PC sales. Combined,
shipments of traditional PCs and ultramobiles are expected to decline by
3.5 percent this year, according to the firm.
Worldwide tablet shipments are forecast to total 197 million units in 2013, a 70 percent increase from 2012, Gartner said.
prices, form factor variety, cloud update and consumers' addiction to
apps will be the key drivers in the tablet market," said Ranjit Atwal,
research director at Gartner.
Click on image to enlarge.
Smartphones, like tablets, are
becoming more affordable, driving adoption in emerging markets. Of the
1.875 billion mobile projected to ship in 2013, 1 billion are expected
to be smartphones, up from 675 million smartphones in 2012, Gartner
"The trend towards smartphones and tablets will have much
wider implications than hardware displacement," Milanesi said. "Software
and chipset architecture are also impacted by this shift as consumers
embrace apps and personal cloud."
You call tablets PCs, but are they? A cheap Android tablet has more computing power than a PC had 5 years ago and does a lot more. For many people it replaces the PC as we know it. But given they don't run traditional x86 Windows applications, is it really a PC?
So from that perspective it's quite correct to call the end of the Windows PC era.
I totally agree Bert22306. At IC Insights we have classified tablets as PCs from the very beginning while other analysts called them media players, Internet access devices, etc. In fact we have always labeled this category as tablet PCs. As tablets become more powerful, offer detachable keyboards, etc., they are becoming more like traditional PCs. At the other end, we see traditional PCs like Ultrabooks offering the "thinness" of a tablet, touch-screen capability, etc., moving into the realm of features offered by tablets. Yes, today you may be able to differentiate between a tablet and a traditional PC, but two or three years from now, probably not. In our view, they are all PCs.
More nonsensical hype. Let me point out a couple of flaws in this consistent mantra.
The first one is, what are these guys classifying a Surface Pro? No doubt, they call it a tablet. But in fact, it's as much a PC as laptops are. And my constant refrain to this hysteria about PC sales is that unless we become a country of imbeciles, people will continue to need something like a PC, or a Surface Pro perhaps, which they rely on for actual productive work. Yes, including grade school children, these days.
My next comment would be, just like JLB911 points out, that sale of handheld gadgets will amost for sure be greater than sales of PCs. For the same reason that sales of any other household trinket is likely to be far greater than the sale of major kitchen appliances. They are different things. One does not negate the other.
Lastly, my prediction is that what we will see in the coming years are much more portable, perhaps even wearble, PC-like devices. Useful and optimized for a lot more than just consuming information or playing games.
Why do we even give credence to these wild projections? Three billion devices sold in 2017 to a world-wide population of 7 billion? Maybe my cat is buying one and I don't know it. Then they have 8 billion phones sold over a four year period, like people are going to replace their phone every year? This projection is total garbage.
David Patterson, known for his pioneering research that led to RAID, clusters and more, is part of a team at UC Berkeley that recently made its RISC-V processor architecture an open source hardware offering. We talk with Patterson and one of his colleagues behind the effort about the opportunities they see, what new kinds of designs they hope to enable and what it means for today’s commercial processor giants such as Intel, ARM and Imagination Technologies.