SAN FRANCISCO—Global PC shipments are now expected to decline by nearly 8 percent this year, due partly to new consumer preferences for smartphones and tablets, according to market research firm International Data Corp (IDC).
The latest PC shipment forecast from IDC (Framingham, Mass.) is a downgrade from an earlier forecast that called for PC shipments to fall by just over 1 percent. PC shipments declined last year for the first time since 2001.
IDC projected that PC shipments will decline a further 1.2 percent in 2014.
"As the market develops, usage patterns and devices are evolving," said Loren Loverde, program vice president for IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Trackers, in a statement.
IDC now expects tablet shipments to grow nearly 59 percent this year, reaching 229 million units, up from 144.5 million units last year. IDC now predicts tablet shipments will exceed those of portable PCs this year. The firm expects tablet shipments to outpace the entire PC market by 2015.
"What started as a sign of tough economic times has quickly shifted to a change in the global computing paradigm with mobile being the primary benefactor," said Ryan Reith, program manager for IDC's mobility trackers, in a statement. "Tablets surpassing portables in 2013, and total PCs in 2015, marks a significant change in consumer attitudes about compute devices and the applications and ecosystems that power them."
Reith said IDC continues to believe that PCs will have an important role in this new era of computing, especially among business users. "But for many consumers, a tablet is a simple and elegant solution for core use cases that were previously addressed by the PC," Reith said.
Why would the 2017 prediction include percentage growth of small screen tablets? Isn't that space well covered by smart phones? I'd think the market would be greatest for screen sizes from 8" up to 14" diagonal (the size of a standard sheet of paper) which is easily carried, and provides enough viewing space to avoid being redundant with a SmartPhone.
Frank, add to that statistic the fact that in about 20% of organizations employees are not allowed to use their own computers for work for security reasons. But this is no more surprising than the fact that most of use also use our own cars for work.
One of the most surprising statements is the claim that in all but the smallest organizations, 25% of employees have purchased the primary PC they use for work. One could infer that no employee would voluntarily do that unless his employer failed to provide the PC necessary for the employee to do his job. One out of 4 seems to me an unbelievably high number of employees that are bringing their own computers to the office.
In addition to trying hard to get into mobile market, Intel seemingly is developing a efficient and powerful processor for server. This will guarantee Intel products still be around our life. No matter what cloud service we choose, Intel processors are still serving you. ;)
Once upon a time (like two years ago) we wondered if tablets would canabalize notebooks which were still growing at a decent pace.
Turns out this shift is coming harder and faster than anyone expected.
Intel's new CEO has his work cut out for him!
I think this makes it pretty clear that PCs were powerful enough for most uses about a decade ago, though not yet portable enough. Much of what has been added since then has been valuable to a small number of users, but wasteful bloat to large numbers of users.
The tablet people are simply buying an amount of computing power much more appropriate to their needs. The compromises, such as no keyboard, are small enough to be greatly overshadowed by the added utility that comes with portability and long battery life.
IMO the fall of PC will be at a much exponential pace than what is in table 2. As mobile CPUs get more and more powerful, they can simply do almost all the tasks of a regular PC. All you need is a dock/monitor/keyboard to convert your smartphone to a full blown dekstop pc.
Checkout Ubuntu OS for Android.
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