MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.--Global sales will top $10 billion this year for the first time for disk drives that offer removable media. More than 260 million of these memories from 61 vendors will be shipped, including CD-ROM and DVD-ROM drives, CD/DVD writable versions, flexible disk models, card and cartridge units, according to a new report from Disk/Trend Inc.
Not all categories are growing, however. Shipments of CD-ROM drives will drop from $4.29 billion last year to $803 million in 2002, while coming up fast to take its place as leader will be DVD-ROM models, which will shoot up from $650 million in 1998 to $4.24 billion in 2002, Disk/Trend predicts.
While there are many writable optical disk drives being sold now, the type enjoying the fastest growth is the two-year-old CD-RW, which can use either write-once or rewritable disks. By 2002, however, DVD rewritable formats also should be experiencing significant growth, Disk/Trend says, with new high-capacity units being offered that use both optical and magnetic recording technologies. Total sales of CD/DVD writable drives will grow from $1.3 billion 1998 to $3.34 billion in 2002, according to the market research firm.
Many new high-capacity floppy drives were announced in recent years, but the only units now being produced in quantity are Iomega's Zip and Clik! models, and the SuperDisk from several companies, Disk/Trend says. In spite of the confusion on interchange stands, it estimates that 12.7 million of these drives were shipped in 1998, growing to 34.3 million in 2002.
Despite continuing predictions of its imminent death, the low-capacity 1.44 megabyte floppy drive is still shipping in large quantities, the market research firm noted. Shipments totaled $1.62 billion last year, and the outlook is for a steady decline to $1.15 billion in 2002.