LONDON – PC processor revenues declined by 2.4 percent in 2012 to just over $40 billion but are set to grow again in 2013, according to market forecaster International Data Corporation (IDC).
IDC predicts that the worldwide revenues for microprocessors designed for mobile PCs, desktop PCs, and PC servers will grow 1.6 percent to $40.7 billion in 2013. At the same time worldwide unit shipments for PC microprocessors will grow 3.2 percent to nearly 384 million units.
In the longer term worldwide PC microprocessor market revenue will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.4 percent for the period 2011 through 2016. Unit shipments will grow at a CAGR of 3.2 percent for the same period, the company forecasted.
IDC, excludes tablet computers from mobile PCs, and estimates that 3.3 percent of mobile PC processors will be based on the ARM architecture in 2016 with the rest being powered by x86 processors. IDC estimates that 3.2 percent of PC server processors will be based on the ARM architecture in 2016.
Shane Rau, vice president for PC and server semiconductor and enabling technologies research at IDC, said slowness in the PC market that hurt sales in 2012 would continue through the first half of 2013 but deferred purchases due to macroeconomic uncertainty would start to become necessary in the second half of the year.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty has forced OEM and IT customers to reduce orders and focus on execution, and reduce expectations after the launch of Microsoft's Windows 8 operating system in late October. Delays in PC purchases caused by Windows 8 and the encroachment of media tablets on low-end PCs have further cut into PC microprocessor demand growth," said Rau.
Well, some people need PCs to do some work, it's not all tablet entertainment...the EE Times community should understand this point the best...let's take a poll: who can do any useful work on a tablet? or on a smartphone?
I think the point is that PCs moderate growth is gone -- very likely forever.
From now on it will be only low growth at best but most probably a long decline -- except for hybrids (T+PC) which are mophing into a new form-factor for laptops
Once again we should be collectively thankful to Jobs ad Apple for breaking up the mold and help us all
Some people need PCs for their work, but we are becoming a minority. I'm seeing more and more tablets and other smaller mobile devices being creatively deployed in all sorts of work settings.
PC replacement schedules seem to be lengthening as time goes on. That's why the PC industry just had a negative quarter. It sure seems like a longer term trend to me.
@iniewski, There are few useful things I can do with my smartphone on the go, email, gps, watch videos,read, play games,
But for doing any real high perf. work, I need a PC, with monitors (and back ground servers crunching the code or analysis) .
I still like PC to multitask, listen to music and still work, and do lot other things, tablets and phones can't do yet.
David Patterson, known for his pioneering research that led to RAID, clusters and more, is part of a team at UC Berkeley that recently made its RISC-V processor architecture an open source hardware offering. We talk with Patterson and one of his colleagues behind the effort about the opportunities they see, what new kinds of designs they hope to enable and what it means for today’s commercial processor giants such as Intel, ARM and Imagination Technologies.