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The Limits of Moore's Law Limits

8/13/2014 02:40 PM EDT
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alex_m1
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Re: Moore's what?
alex_m1   8/14/2014 4:59:38 PM
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> The whole semiconductor industry is working to fulfill the the prophecy of Moore's Law.


So why didn't he aim higher? why???

R_Colin_Johnson
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Re: Moore's what?
R_Colin_Johnson   8/14/2014 12:19:35 PM
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Good question. The whole semiconductor industry is working to fulfill the the prophecy of Moore's Law.

Jessica Lipsky
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Re: Moore's what?
Jessica Lipsky   8/14/2014 11:09:10 AM
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Where's the line between law and self-fulfilling prophecy?

alex_m1
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Re: Moore's what?
alex_m1   8/14/2014 7:20:28 AM
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Sure there will be more than one game played.

While we could probably improve current manufacturing techniques,  i personally set my eyes on  one of the crazy options promising orders of magnitude improvment: Quantum computing, Optical computing(like optalysys does) , Analog brain like computing, etc.

Or_Bach
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Re: Moore's what?
Or_Bach   8/14/2014 3:08:47 AM
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For many decades it was the "law of the semiconductor game" those that didn't obey had to leave the game !

Clearly the game have changed.

Looking forward we will see a period when there will be more the one game being played.

The one I believe will emerge as the most interesting one will be monolithic 3D.

Kevin Neilson
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Re: Moore's what?
Kevin Neilson   8/14/2014 2:11:33 AM
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I've always called it "Moore's Observation" myself.

seaEE
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Re: Moore's what?
seaEE   8/14/2014 12:16:18 AM
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I wish Moore's law held for improving automobile efficiency.

daleste
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Re: Moore's what?
daleste   8/13/2014 11:00:47 PM
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Wow.  Feels good to be called absolutely right!

R_Colin_Johnson
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Re: Moore's what?
R_Colin_Johnson   8/13/2014 10:54:18 PM
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You are absolutely right. I think Markov is trying to enumerate those areas whose areas where innovations can be most effective.

daleste
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Moore's what?
daleste   8/13/2014 10:02:58 PM
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The first problem is that Moore's law is not a law, but only an observation.  We have reduced the cost of integrated circuits over the years and we will continue to do that with many inovations.  But there is no guarantee that it will continue forever and we all knew that.

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