Weird and Wacky Engineering
Comment
KB3001
That would be a grave mistake! Other countries would retaliate and a global ...
Etmax
The optimal type of government is a benign dictatorship, except that it usually ...
Obama, jobs and the creative destruction of electronics
Brian Fuller
9/6/2011 8:15 PM EDT
President Obama goes before the nation Thursday night to deliver the jobs-creation speech he should have given in in February 2009. It will almost surely be the wrong solution.
Two years ago, he talked about stimulus and creating new green-energy jobs and how the unemployment rate would be below 8 percent, oh, pretty soon. Stimulus was great if you're a road-construction worker. Green-energy jobs growth has failed spectacularly and unemployment is north of 9 percent.
The president and his advisers, then and now, are looking at the economic crisis we're in through the wrong lens.
Green jobs mirage
The answer is not how the government can create jobs because it's proved lousy at this time and again. New York Times columnist David Brooks laid this out pretty clearly in a piece this week. Think Solyndra, which went bankrupt last month after getting a half-billion-dollar government-guaranteed loan.
Another low light: A $59 million effort to train people for green jobs in California produced only 719 job placements, Brooks wrote, quoting a Times feature story.
The task is how to lay a foundation for businesses to create jobs, because that's what businesses do. And by definition and experience this means small business. In our industry, that means startups.

Entrepreneur and author Henry Nothhaft wrote pointedly on this for the Wall Street Journal.
All of American job growth comes from small businesses, so Obama's appointing General Electric CEO Jeffrey Immelt to chair a jobs council is the wrong approach, Notthaft wrote.
Technology, not jobs
The right solution is to focus on technology (the nurturing of) not on "jobs." Technology changes quicken with each passing year; policymakers simply can't keep up. Nurture technology and its roiling, exciting startup culture, and the jobs will come.
Electronics is both creator and destroyer. It creates excellent, high-paying, highly challenging jobs. It can create wealth.
But it can also destroy its spawn and it can destroy jobs. Sunil Sharan, former head of the Green Grid initiative, points out that smart meter technology will replace 28,000 jobs. I think, but many will disagree, that that's a great thing. How many jobs has Google replaced? Millions? Maybe. Some day smart meters will be replaced by an app powered by your phone or some other personal electronic device.
Those people left jobless by technology disintermediation don't shrivel up and die. They do what they have to do: go back to school for more education, re-market themselves, or learn software programming, etc. It's what humans do. More often than not, the new jobs are challenging and reinvigorating, more so than walking from house to house writing down electricity-usage figures.
Embrace destruction
It is creative destruction. Without it, we'd still be living in log cabins, riding horses, walking to the creek to fetch the water and doing what bears do in the woods. Those images are only bucolic through our lens of modernity and technological advancement. Back in the day, people wanted desperately to move on, people wanted to embrace the fruits of technology (the Industrial Revolution) to improve their standard of living.
I think people with ambition, ideas and the innovator's optimism are the answer. Enable them and you light a forest fire of innovation. Stifle them and, well... that's where we are right now.
What do you think?
Navigate to related information


Luis Sanchez
9/6/2011 10:51 PM EDT
I like the term... "Embrace destruction". This is a way to boldly go forward. To embrace destruction of the old in order to welcome the new.
This also reminds me of measuring our age not by the years we have lived but by the dreams we have. The desire to keep on, and the projects that we´re working on.
Start ups are the answer... we have to re'invent ourselves and by doing so, we´ll be finding the answers and solutions to the current demands. I couldn´t agree more. Let´s see what the President will say...
Sign in to Reply
zhgreader
10/2/2011 5:53 AM EDT
very nice,
destructing the old order, then the new will come.
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/6/2011 11:42 PM EDT
The answer is get realistic,
do a statistic of jobless folks, education level etc.
If most of them lower than high school then create some shoe factory, green job won't fix.
don't fool yourself, not all americans can do analytical stuff.
you invest in a group of low IQs and expect them to compete in hi-tek , it simply won't work.
Sign in to Reply
SherpaDoug
9/13/2011 2:40 PM EDT
Of course learning some basic job skills like grammar and capitalization wouldn't hurt ;-)
Sign in to Reply
kdboyce
9/7/2011 2:33 AM EDT
Too much 'micro management' of businesses by Government has never worked. I doubt if we would have ever stepped foot on the Moon if President Kennedy and his administration attempted to manage the project to the degree that existing and proposed regulations today hamper business. Set the large goals, and get out of the way as well as paving the way is what government should do if they really want to create jobs.
There is always a problem when governments attempt to set social policy by regulation.
Of course there are legitimate roles for government to play in the areas of consumer protection against fraud, consumer and worker safety, and broad environmental issues such as ensuring a clean (and protected) water supply and proper disposal/clean up of toxic materials.
Many of the laws on the books in these areas could be simplified or even eliminated in some cases, and would work a lot better if they were enforced instead of just piling on layer after layer.
Sign in to Reply
AR2
9/9/2011 5:13 PM EDT
I could agree with you but with caution... deregulation? Just like with banks? We know where we ended up with that. So any time we mention deregulation one has to keep in mind what that did to everyone.
Sign in to Reply
Salio
9/11/2011 10:48 PM EDT
Unfortunately, the industry wouldn't adopt the rules if they were enforced by the government. For example, how many power plant operators you know off who would willingly meet the EPA air quality standards????
Sign in to Reply
agk
9/7/2011 3:58 AM EDT
Think of newer and newer technologies. The population goes up regularly. NAturally every one need a job. New applications is the only solution. The new applications not to replace the older ones. Probably in the areas of agriculture, power generation, fuel and all other kind of consumables.Where ever there is a shortage of resources many jobs can be created to fill them up.
Sign in to Reply
mac_droz
9/7/2011 4:50 AM EDT
Interesting comments... One thing I do not agree whenever I listen to the discussion like this is that all these people that loose jobs because of the new technology will go back to schools and learn new trades... Being engineer I am not against the technology at all. I'm just saying that it is easy to say that being an engineer or a politician - real life is more harsh - most of these people will start drinking and enrol on social welfare. Start wondering how many of the kids of these people will get a proper education? Who is going to be their role model? Drunken dad? Not-reading-books mum? In all our greed we forget one basic think - to be proud of the work we do, no mater what the job is. Being proud of the work gives great boost to your kids. We have too many non-skilled people with no perspectives and no motivation and still we're creating more high-skilled jobs.
Look at the last riots on London - that is the society of the future - no skills, no motivation, just pure greed - just like their role models: politicians and celebrities. And there are more of them then us...
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/7/2011 11:26 PM EDT
the irony is those high-skilled company will end up driven up need for more H-1 workers, in the end benefit non-americans , again.
Sign in to Reply
texdave
9/13/2011 3:16 PM EDT
The riots in London are what you can expect from a society that has become dependent on the government. If they had already found their way in the private sector the austerity measures wouldn't affect them.
Sign in to Reply
Omalin
9/7/2011 6:45 AM EDT
How about Federal loan guarantee to those U.S. solar firms in the Obama government? Look at this Solyndra LLC, it had obtained a $535 million federal loan guarantee in 2010. But now, it declared that they would be filing for bankruptcy. What could be the reason behind? Article same subject is [url=http://www.newsytype.com/10807-solyndra-bankruptcy]Government-supported Solyndra declares bankruptcy[/url] .Financial management is really crucial and risky in an organization considering it's asset, liabilities and income. The SWOT analysis can identify its annual performance and can determine possible strategic solutions either for survival or for dissolution in the business industry.
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/7/2011 12:28 PM EDT
Responding to IBM221 and a little thread in Mac_Droz's comments: Point taken. I do think as many people in the workforce as possible should always strive to move up the value chain, but some people are really good at one thing. Let's take manufacturing (IBM221's shoe factory reference). We've offshored manufacturing because it supposedly can be done cheaper. But when you do that, you lose the tight feedback loop you had when you owned the factory.
As I went around the Midwest this summer on the first leg of the Drive for Innovation, I was struck at how many of the systems companies I met have manufacturing close by. Most did it because they work too quickly to sit around and wait for prototypes to come back from China and they want excellent Q/A that only comes from overseeing your factory or your manufacturing partners directly.
So, there's hope that we'll get back in the manufacturing game and that's always good for employment.
Sign in to Reply
nicolas.mokhoff
9/7/2011 2:26 PM EDT
I think that no matter what Obama says it will be criticized to high waters.
Since we are quoting opinions from today's sages, I offer another one, that of Tom Friedman in the NYT. He ain't a super-sage, but he sure sounds good, and the president should heed his advice: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/07/opinion/friedman-the-whole-truth-and-nothing-but.html?ref=opinion
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/7/2011 3:29 PM EDT
Nic, great link. Thanks for that. Interesting that Friedman quotes a retired diplomat from a country that's been pretty good about keeping its people in line.
I'd need to read the original piece, but I'd beg to differ that democracies are failing. You can't call the Eurozone a failed democracy if the democracies that comprise it are still healthy. You can, however, say that some convenient amalgamation of countries is not working. And to say democracy is broke in this country is a stretch. It works perfectly well: we may not like that wild back-and-forth/ADD results we see in big elections, but the system works.
That said, I'm really intrigued by his "big lies" logic. It's true and it's disturbing. Now if the president stands up tomorrow night and says "government can't solve all your problems and if you're been unemployed for more than two years, you might want to rethink your location, career, assumptions, skillset and act accordingly" well then that would be an historic speech!
But it won't happen. A liberal politician can't stand up and repudiate his base's core assumptions in the same way a conservative politician can't stand up and repudiate big business. It's career-i-cide.
Meanwhile, the rest of us out here in the real world soldier on.
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/7/2011 4:00 PM EDT
The problems now being faced by the Eurozone, IMO, should have been predicted when the Maastricht Treaty was signed. At the time, I couldn't figure out how it would work. Why? Because all these different countries, with quite different cultures and work ethics, were agreeing to NOT allowing themselves to adjust their own currencies any longer. So you had to believe that all the currencies were suddenly going to be valued exactly the same, compared to one another.
In the US, we have the Fed, and we also have total mobility of the workforce. In Europe, although mobility is much better than it was 40 years ago, you have very different cultures with very different values, and people want to hold on to what they know.
It's a little bit like tying together the throttles of a whole fleet of cars, then expecting them all to run equally well. This can only happen if the terrain they are running on is identical. If it's not, some will stall, while others will exceed the speed limit!
Sign in to Reply
chanj
9/7/2011 3:31 PM EDT
Technology is transforming the society since Industrial Revolution. There will be job disappearing and there will be job created. The job market or economy as a whole acts like an ecosystem. According to study, most jobs are created by SMB. If the administration sets the right tone and direction of where US economy goes and acts right, jobs will likely be created. On the other hands, if the middle class can spend, more products will be created and new jobs will come. Lately, there have been voices of strengthening the middle class. Here comes an article for your enjoyment.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/04/opinion/sunday/jobs-will-follow-a-strengthening-of-the-middle-class.html?pagewanted=all%3Fsrc%3Dtp&smid=fb-share
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/7/2011 3:43 PM EDT
I would be astonished if anyone expected anything at all to come out of a politican's speech, in this particular regard. Confound it, guys, he is not a magician, he is not a businessman, he is not an enterpreneur. He was elected to be our PRESIDENT, not our dictator.
We lead. He represents us, our interests. Yes, he is the Commander in Chief. That is a military title ONLY. The Commander in Chief *of the DoD*. Not of the citizens.
The best he can do is to propose and encourage government policies that are more friendly to business. The government is mostly clueless about running businesses, and he, for one, has no experience at all in this. Why would anyone think he can fix the problem of jobs? I don't get it.
Sign in to Reply
Thomas.Wrobel
9/8/2011 8:26 AM EDT
Bert22306 -- good comment and I agree, The President does not have as much power as people are lead to believe He has. That is probably part of the problem!
Sign in to Reply
BobSound
9/7/2011 5:23 PM EDT
I'm having a hard time visualizing where the new jobs are going to come from. The computer changed everything. We may be a knowledged based economy, but most of the people do it themselves. There is no need for all those people that used to do the research. I wish someone could tell me otherwise, but I just don't see much of a jobs recovery in the near future.
Sign in to Reply
Frank Eory
9/7/2011 5:38 PM EDT
I agree with Bert, and it's not only the president, but the federal government overall that is powerless to actually create private sector jobs.
The best thing Washington can do for the economy is to stop trying to engineer the economy -- stop giving favors to some, penalties to others, and stop trying to steer the direction of economic development.
Green technology initiatives are a great examples of misguided government attempts to steer economic and technological development. However much many of us might want these to succeed, however good it might make us feel to reduce our impact on our environment, the marketplace -- not government policy -- will ultimately decide on success or failure of these initiatives.
Even with a half billion dollar loan from the government, Solyndra couldn't make a viable business out of rooftop solar panels. Will other companies make viable businesses out of smart meters? Home automation and energy management? How about all-electric vehicles?
Only time will tell -- time, and the cumulative effects of millions of consumers voting with their wallets.
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/7/2011 8:31 PM EDT
Eloquent as always, folks!
For BobSound, here's how I approach that "unknown." If we were having this conversation in 1975, we'd be saying "how are we going to replace all these steel jobs?" We could never envision in the course of a few short years that electronics design would expand out of the mil-aero world with places like Route 128/Silicon Valley coming into prominence. Nor, I'd argue, would we have said "you know? in a couple of decades there will be armies of young college graduates who will work endless hours, sleep under their desks, eat free pizza and take long ping-pong or bocce ball breaks encouraged by their employers all because they love coding."
That's one of the few things that keeps me optimistic in dark times: We can never predict the unknowns.
Right now, we're entering (broadly speaking) the era of apps on readily available electronics systems. Next will be open-source hardware (Arduino). What happens when you put that power in the hands of millions of people?
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/7/2011 8:49 PM EDT
Cool, let me offer my 2nd hint (mentioned b4 somewhere).
US need to reform it's political system, ie introducing a PM position.
Current US system put all burden on the shoulder of one man - president. He need to be a genius in everyfront. unfortunately you always get a good lawyer.
a good lawyer could be just naive in macro economics as we are seeing right now. After couple of years of learning and failing you switch to a different one and repeat.
Look at china and russia, they both got someone good at laws etc to handle diplomatic, political stuff and someone experienced with economy to handle job creation.
hope this can enlighten the poor american ppl..
Sign in to Reply
RandomJitter
9/8/2011 11:04 AM EDT
"US need to reform it's political system..."
Our constitutional republic is built on a solid foundation. We just need to push the federal gov't back to its constitutional limits.
"Look at china and russia,..."
I wish the people of China and Russia well, but no thanks.
"hope this can enlighten the poor american ppl.."
the above condescending remark dumped to /dev/null.
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/8/2011 8:32 PM EDT
to be fair people can do a test of economy knowledge.
Obama Vs. Putin
guess who ll win...
Sign in to Reply
udar
9/9/2011 2:12 PM EDT
Economics and jobs in Russia are better than USA? Putin, the ex-KGB, is economics professor now?
The cluelessness of Obama does not mean that we should prefer dictator Putin.
I am not sure how exactly to respond to those comparison, they are so ridiculous.
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/13/2011 8:49 PM EDT
Putin might not be a professor but he is definitely more experienced.
Compareing someone who just get a license vs someone has been on the road for ten years...
the difference is just huge...
Sign in to Reply
cdhmanning
9/9/2011 5:27 PM EDT
It always amazes me that when anyone criticizes the US constitution the answer is "Look at China".
For example, just look at USA's so-called free speech. This is enshrined by the constitution, yet USA only ranks about 20th in the press freedom index. Sure US ranks better than China, but surely US - the so-called leader of the free world - aspires to at least be in the top ten.
From where I sit [outside USA] it is patently obvious that the US political structure is a mess. You have too many political bodies and when they get out of step (as they are now), then government is frozen.
When Congress and the President keep vetoing eachother you will end up with patchy compromises that achieve nothing. No wonder the Federal govt is in such a mess.
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/9/2011 5:43 PM EDT
From outside the US, it is hard to understand that many Americans prefer it this way. Even western Europeans find it hard to undertand that the roles of the US government are meant to be limited.
Save for a minority at the far left, Americans do not want the government to spoon-feed them. It's not the government's job, in this culture.
I have no idea how this free press index is calculated, so ...
Sign in to Reply
KB3001
9/11/2011 5:13 PM EDT
I would argue it's the whole term-based democratic system that needs to be revised. Elected politicians work to be re-elected at the end of their term, so they often take decisions with short-term benefits and bad long term ones. I say elect people on a generic manifesto and as long as they do not break their generic manifesto, let them in office for as long as they are capable of doing the job. I call this covenant-based democracy...
Sign in to Reply
Price.David
9/13/2011 8:05 AM EDT
I agree if someone is doing a good job they should continue, we could all ways vote them out.
Sign in to Reply
seaEE
9/7/2011 9:47 PM EDT
It is possible that the revival of a company like Heathkit may do more to create technology jobs by getting kids interested in electronics and subsequently becoming entrepreneurs, than any jobs program might do.
Sign in to Reply
gkidwell
9/9/2011 1:58 PM EDT
Yes I am of the Heathkit generation, when electronics was a hobby. But we are now in the XBox generation, where doing nothing is a hobby. I'm afraid we can't go back.
Sign in to Reply
Price.David
9/13/2011 8:08 AM EDT
yes the way of free simulation tools for hobbiest is the only way to encourage this early on, would seem more like a video game as they learn.
Sign in to Reply
Polyid
9/7/2011 10:47 PM EDT
To NOT prevent creative destruction or new business emerging, the government should do is DON'T do any stimulus. Let the economy metabolism work naturally, so that the ingredients occupied by those unhealthy, fragile, bloated, ineffective companies can be released to cultivate others.
Then the economy system can regain her liberty to adjust herself to survive in this world.
Reminding that all resources are limited, any government's stimulus no matter monetary or fiscal, is kind of redistribution and can cause deep impact that not revealing obviously on those economical figures like GDP, CPI,etc.
Sign in to Reply
cdhmanning
9/9/2011 5:30 PM EDT
Pretty much the whole US electronics and tech industry was created by stimulation and protectionism through military and aerospace spending.
Sign in to Reply
prabhakar_deosthali
9/8/2011 7:12 AM EDT
What government can do best to create jobs is to encourage the entrepreneurs who will create jobs. Empower people to do business and such small small businesses will create thousands of jobs.
Sign in to Reply
lwriemen
9/8/2011 9:34 AM EDT
It's a big debate over the effect of the Recovery Act on long-term jobs. There seems to be insufficient data one way or the other to say anything for sure, but you can find opposing conclusions drawn from the right and left. Mr. Fuller has chosen to draw from sources on the right.
You can also extend this to government stimulus in general, and you'll find economists who'll say the USA should have poured more money into the economy as well as those who'll say they poured too much.
I'm just an engineer. I know my job exists in part due to green stimulus money. I know that tightening EPA regulations has improved our business. I know that in the past fourteen years I haven't seen my salary increase in inflation adjusted dollars, and I've seen my spending level decrease (even with the tax cuts). I've never seen any benefits to myself or the country from tax cuts and deregulation. I've only seen jobs leave the country and income disparity increase.
Sign in to Reply
Simon7382
9/11/2011 3:17 PM EDT
Finally a sane voice in the wilderness!! Are all engineers (or most) in this discussion far right wingers, like Mr. Fuller seems to be? Based on my experience this is hard to believe.
Sign in to Reply
iniewski
9/8/2011 2:33 PM EDT
Great article Brian, maybe you should chair jobs council not Immelt ;-)...Kris
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/8/2011 5:11 PM EDT
Kris, I'll only do that if you'll join me (!) and if I could be sure that whatever president we worked for would be open to our findings.
Sign in to Reply
iniewski
9/8/2011 6:02 PM EDT
Brian, would love to,let me polish my resume;-)...where do I apply? Mitt Romney? Kris
Sign in to Reply
timemerchant
9/9/2011 9:23 AM EDT
Some friends from South Africa on a contract in the US for a large motor manufacturer told me this: They waited a week for a data cable to be installed for a PLC and SCADA job on a project running late. During the weekend they soldered up the 9 pin connector themselves and drilled a hole in the panel to connect up to their laptop. On Monday morning when commissioning, they were asked who put in the cable. They were then restricted to the cable quaranteen area for a week and not allowed to work on the job, even though it was late. That's the electrician union. Here in Australia, I have an M.Sc Elec Eng and done the Cisco courses plus cable termination courses, but employed in a PLC company was not allowed to wire up a 24Vdc panel or Ethernet cabling for in-house testing. It had to be an A-class electrician. I worked on motion control and three phase motors of 380VAC for years, but here the cable tag companies drive top-of-the line 4x4 vehicles while engineers are stiffled. Those are real problems. Have a look at the smoking areas in your companies. In Oz, complete with fire extinguisher, broom, shade cover, etc, and must have cost $20,000 to erect. Same price as a decent scope. Flowers installed at huge expense, but we did not even have PLCs on a desk for testing. Medi-evil thinking. Let's not start on the tax, or compliance issues.
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/9/2011 12:41 PM EDT
Kris, I think you and I should run as one ticket. Between us, I'm sure we can solve the nation's problems. (Then again, we'd need to be benign dictators for some period of time)...
; )
Sign in to Reply
Etmax
10/2/2011 9:52 AM EDT
The optimal type of government is a benign dictatorship, except that it usually ends up being an oxymoron.
Sign in to Reply
sks1
9/9/2011 2:41 PM EDT
Please read ssabat.wordpress.com for may analysis over the years. We need strong trade policy and have to reign on Wall street ( for some time until it is tuned for better) to bring jobs back. Tax-cut and social spending are not the answers. Those are old methods and they have not worked so far.
Sign in to Reply
James83
9/9/2011 3:21 PM EDT
Beginning of article:
"Another low light: A $59 million effort to train people for green jobs in California produced only 719 job placements, Brooks wrote, quoting a Times feature story."
So you're arguing the government shouldn't waste its efforts on retraining.
End of article:
"Those people left jobless by technology disintermediation don't shrivel up and die. They do what they have to do: go back to school for more education,..."
So we should provide incentives for more education. Oh wait, I'm confused.
Sign in to Reply
didymus7
9/12/2011 7:12 AM EDT
Yes, you certainly are. You need to do your research. All he is saying is that the government did it wrong. Is that so tough?
Sign in to Reply
Streetrodder
9/14/2011 4:35 PM EDT
OK, I just ran the numbers on the quote. $59M/719 = ~ $82K in training expenses per job placement. Considering what a BS costs in the US nowadays, that really doesn't seem too expensive.
For perspective - a six week course to train a technician to repair an MRI can run to $20K. And he already has the basic background and experience to learn.
Sign in to Reply
earlm
9/9/2011 4:54 PM EDT
This comment is hilarious:
"They do what they have to do: go back to school for more education, re-market themselves, or learn software programming, etc"
Totally clueless!! A 50-yr meter reader is going to just go back to school, get a CS degree, learn java, and write apps for smartphones? Ok, let's forget how much educational background is required to do software. Where are they going to get the thousands of dollars to pay for re-education while also trying to survive? And who is going to hire them when they can hire newbies out of college? Clueless.
Sign in to Reply
Frank Eory
9/9/2011 6:11 PM EDT
A very good point. Your post reminded me of a demotivational poster that has a picture of fast-food french fries and the word "Potential", with the caption "Not everyone gets to be an astronaut when they grow up."
It really is a serious social issue -- that not every displaced worker actually has the potential to compete for many of the jobs in the modern economy -- despite retraining initiatives.
Sign in to Reply
JKammeyer
9/9/2011 5:54 PM EDT
Surprisingly, the US Constitution holds the answer. It says to "PROMOTE the general welfare". As a nation we have tried for many decades to PROVIDE the general welfare. It's wrong. You PROVIDE for the common defense, and that is a different thing.
The right approach by the government is to promote growth by fostering conditions favorable to growth, i.e. favorable to business. This could be done many ways, and handouts is not one of them.
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/9/2011 5:57 PM EDT
Good comment. I've used to very same words myself, from time to time.
Sign in to Reply
ORDucks
9/9/2011 6:59 PM EDT
hi
Sign in to Reply
ORDucks
9/9/2011 7:33 PM EDT
Innovation - wait a minute - didn't most of the money for technology in the 1980's came from tax payer's dollars funding Silicon Valley companies for the space race / star wars?
Real innovation comes from small companies with reduced bureaucratic / managerial overhead, but funding small companies is another bad joke, especially when large corporations become their "business partners" like in the millitary / government contracting sector and steal the money for guess what - managerial overhead.
Here what's happening in the old USA:
1. No government sponsored scholarships for engineering students. (Compare USA to China and India who pay for their students' education).
2. IEEE is inbedded with the management of large corporations, so nothing is done to lobby for #1 above. (How can a USA engineer with a minimun of $100k in student loans afford to take a job that requires a master's degree and only pays $45k per year? - only engineers who come from China and India can do that.)
3. What are we as engineers really creating?
A green planet, better standard of living, or a wasteland of dumped consumer gagets that get replaced every year or two? Has anybody bothered to look again at Maxwell's orginal equations to see if basic electrical circuitry can be re-engineered?
4. I blame the current economic situation on engineers who got their MBAs back in the 1980's and 1990's when the best way an engineer could make a large salary was to start a business, or become a manager. The engineers took their knowledge of systems into the business world and under corporate game rules created what we have today - the ways to make the bottom line greater.
Yeah it's all our fault! Were just a bunch of geeks and nerds who can't see the big picture because we're taking care of too many engineering and manangement details. Can we take the time to see how and what we do affects society and the entire planet. Finally, can we fix the mess we created?
Another engineer :-\
Sign in to Reply
Simon7382
9/11/2011 3:26 PM EDT
OH YES, we could fix this mess, any good engineer could, what needs to be done is pretty simple once you do an honest analysis of the situation. And, OH NO, we engineers did not create this mess: corrupt politicians, on the payroll of Wall street, created it and now are refusing to fix it.
Sign in to Reply
WKetel
9/9/2011 10:03 PM EDT
Just go back to school and learn something new. RIGHT!! I am an engineer, I do electronic, electrical, mechanical, pneumatic, and hydraulic designs. I can program a PLC or a Motoman robot. Unfortunately in this part of the country an engineer must be able to do embedded software for automotive systems, and work with the CAN bus. It seems that the demand for general engineers has moved to some places like China and India. But I can't go to China, and don't want to go to India, so I am stuck. MY solution was to create a service company, and do all kinds of repair work, at an engineering level of competence, which it seems that people are willing to pay for. NOT AT ALL what I spent a bunch of years in school for, though. IF the president were serious about creating jobs, the first step would be to create confidence in the future, and that would require making changes to prevent the financial disaster from ever happening again. To avoid the skyrocketing fuel prices, make those who buy oil futures pay cash, instead of using credit. Just a few changes to assure that what was done before is now a felony, and then enforce the new laws. We certainly don't want to copy the government style s that some have suggested.
Sign in to Reply
Bob5491
9/9/2011 11:31 PM EDT
Congress is so disconnected that they don't even know the skill levels of the unemployed. Corporations agree they don't see a growth opportunity in the USA compared to other countries. In this country the worker is treated as a liability rather than an asset. Businesses with record cash will just get richer and the unemployed will go off of the radar screen as soon as congress stops benefits, problem solved.
Sign in to Reply
Neo1
9/10/2011 2:16 AM EDT
So after all these comments from engineers about improving the economy who for one thinks that what they said will really bring jobs? I would guess-none, so, what Obama says is in a way as good as yours, an engineers.
Sign in to Reply
Drawfire
9/10/2011 12:36 PM EDT
What it really comes down to is that our government has not been responsible with the proverbial "credit card." It's not a Democratic or a Republican thing.... just a stupidity thing. We need to get the jobs problem fixed first, and deal with the deficits long term. As for did the previous stimulus work? The numbers prove that the recession was about twice as bad as they had predicted, thus the stimulus should have been twice the size it was. I would agree that congress should have written the first stimulus better. They loaded it up with their favorite flavors of pork, instead of focusing on a specific jobs plan, and agreed with it being 40% tax cuts. Hopefully they will produce something more focused this time, and not diluted to the point it fails. One of the most promising things I heard during the President's speech was "The American Jobs Act will repair and modernize at least 35,000 schools. It will put people to work right now fixing roofs and windows, installing science labs and high-speed Internet in classrooms all across this country. Pass this jobs bill, and thousands of teachers in every state will go back to work. These are the men and women charged with preparing our children for a world where the competition has never been tougher. Americans who desperately want to work, will have more ladders out of poverty." While I appreciate and respect the comments about the futility of retraining some displaced workers, Education is crutial for the future and long-term, permanant solution.
Sign in to Reply
cdhmanning
9/10/2011 10:37 PM EDT
In a democracy the government reflects the will of the people. Therefore you can't blame the government - only the citizens.
Fiscal responsibility would be political suicide because the citizens would not support it.
The idea behind spending up to build jobs is really digging the hole a bit deeper. It assumes that spending up will kick start the economy to the point where it generates wealth and will fix the longer term problems.
Where that idea falls short is that it does not distinguish between a productive and a consumptive economy and the related jobs. There is no point in boosting consumptive jobs (retail etc) because this will never fix the long term problem.
Another way to look at it is what the US imports vs what it exports. Increased retail spending (and associated jobs) that just increase consumption are pointless. Jobs that result in export make sense though.
If the USA wants to get back in the game then it needs to start making stuff the rest of the world wants.
Sign in to Reply
David Ashton
9/11/2011 4:58 AM EDT
"In a democracy the government reflects the will of the people. Therefore you can't blame the government - only the citizens."
If the US is anything like Australia, it's not really a democracy, sure there are "democratic" elections, but once they are done with you have a 4-year dictatorship. No way to hold the politicians to their election promises, or get them out of office if they screw up.
Until someone comes up with a better way of holding the pollies to account, that's the way it will stay. And they wouldn't allow anything to pass that would change the status quo, would they? Snouts too deep in the trough....
Sign in to Reply
Simon7382
9/11/2011 3:36 PM EDT
Well, yes, democracy should work that way: the government reflects the will of the people. However, in reality, that is often not the case. For example GW Bush was never really elected by the people, nevertheless he "led" our country for 8 years, driving us into two insane unnecessary wars, based on lies, costing about 3 trillion dollars (which we could very well use know if we had it). As long as our elections are not publicly financed we will not have anything close to a real democracy. The Koch brothers and their irresponsible unpatriotic ilk will buy and control our "representatives", and they, in turn, will sell us out to enrich them even more.
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/11/2011 3:45 PM EDT
I agree with the specific comment about the difference between "productive jobs" and "consumptive jobs," even if I would have worded it differently.
That's what always bothers me about the "fixes" to the problem that we see coming out of the Administration. What has to be fostered is the continued creation of new wealth. Not so much the mundane maintenance of what already exists. The government is singularly unable to do the former, and when they try to, they are taking the risk with taxpayers' money.
"Stimulus" is only a quick shot of adrenalin. You can't fix anything with stimulus spending. Stimulus at best holds the economy over until the main event kicks in, and for that, the private investors need to see stability. Not untold extra business expenses loaded on them in years to come, in the form of taxation to fund the Administration's favorite new policies of government largess.
Sign in to Reply
gatorfan
9/10/2011 11:07 PM EDT
The function of Governments in a market based economy is first and foremost to protect property rights: physical and intellectual. The problem is and will remain that the US opened it's borders to countries that do not respect property rights thereby creating an extremely tilted playing field. China and Russia both are notorious at doing this with quota limit changes to full outright expropriation of entire industries.
Sign in to Reply
TFCSD
9/11/2011 12:21 AM EDT
So the Government believes they can control the economy? If this is true then what happened in 1929, 1983, 2001, and 2008 when the economy tanked. It is like a person who continually wrecks a car saying they can get and keep the same car back on the road. BTW, My last job was designing smart meters and though utilities said it was what they needed, no utilities wanted to risk using an upstart small company ("No one ever got fired for buying IBM") so the boss killed the project and my job.
Sign in to Reply
Dave deCamara
9/11/2011 2:27 AM EDT
Excellent points, thank you!
Sign in to Reply
rudwick
9/11/2011 1:09 PM EDT
As my grandmother used to say - "You're talking when you should be listening!"
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/11/2011 3:50 PM EDT
Precisely! The "you" being, politicians. And the people they should be listening to, business owners. Those who actually do the hiring.
Sign in to Reply
Simon7382
9/11/2011 3:47 PM EDT
Mr. Fuller, this is supposed to be an engineering discussion, so it would be nice if you left your right wing slogans and talking points about "Obama is no good in anything he does" at home when you write a column here. I have a lot of disagreements with Obama's governing in the past 2.5 years, but just thinking about the alternative, a McCain-Palin administration, sends shivers up to my spine. And, looking at some of the present republican candidates, like Bachman or Perry, would make any logical and analytical person, with an engineering or scientific education, prefer 4 more years of Obama, as wobbly and as clueless as he has been time to time.
Sign in to Reply
Bert22306
9/11/2011 4:03 PM EDT
Sad but true, about the alternatives. One can only hope for better choices. And too, just because the alternative would have been even less appealing does not men that the current situation must not be questioned.
And in my opinion, the column being filed under EE Life, is appropriate for this type of topic. Surely, EEs have more to express themselves about than just computer science and electronics, yes?
Sign in to Reply
cdhmanning
9/11/2011 6:20 PM EDT
"Surely, EEs have more to express themselves about than just computer science and electronics"
Most certainly. An industry is inextricably linked to the society it is in. The shifts and problems in society are closely linked to those in our industry.
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/13/2011 8:59 PM EDT
the solution is P. Obama hires Bill Clinton as PM to run the country.
their family is all genius as we have seen.
Sign in to Reply
KB3001
9/11/2011 5:07 PM EDT
Embrace destruction? Easy to say if you are not running for re-election in a year's time :-) Anyway, I do not think Electronics is not unique in destroying the jobs of the incumbents. That said, if it results in high overall efficiencies, then it's worth it even if the same number of jobs lost is not created. People have to retrain and re-adjust to new needs. That's why we subsidise (or should subsidise) the education and reskilling sector.
Sign in to Reply
DutchUncle
9/12/2011 8:55 AM EDT
Focus on technology is useless if the CEOs and MBAs are openly stating that they will only hire in China and India and other "best-cost" locations. I know engineers who are unemployed and underemployed; heck, I was too for a few years after a multinational bought the company I worked for and laid off half. Within months after production was moved offshore, knockoffs appeared under four different labels, hurting sales; but in the meantime the executives got their bonuses for "saving costs".
So, basically, this article's application to the real world is tenuous at best.
Sign in to Reply
resistion
9/12/2011 9:52 AM EDT
You can detect republicans when they take jobs creation by US companies (as if no outsourcing considered) for granted.
The jobs eliminated by technology in the field (such as meter reading) hopefully become technology-monitoring jobs at the desk for the same people.
Sign in to Reply
KB3001
9/12/2011 2:07 PM EDT
Hopefully not one for one though :-)
Sign in to Reply
chipmonk
9/12/2011 4:08 PM EDT
The market driven solution to the societal disruption being caused by "electronics" would be for disgruntled EE professinals in US etc. to leave the field altogether and let the low - paid EEs in China and India pick up the ball. If the people over there are as bad as they are portrayed to be, the rate of innovation / disruption will plunge - even Apple won't be able to bring out new iwhatevers every year and eventually stability will be restored in the US economy.
Any takers ?
Sign in to Reply
Brian Fuller2
9/12/2011 8:47 PM EDT
Great debate, folks! Look, to Simon, James and others: I'm no right winger. Libertarian? In many ways.
But at the end of the day, my future is in my hands. I need to do something about it; I don't look to the government to do something for me.
Today, I sat in a meeting with representatives from a U.S. congressman and a small contract electronics manufacturer. I'll write about it later at greater length, but they might as well have been speaking to completely different languages.
I know we all have to get along. We need government (really!); what level and type is now a four-century-old debate here in the U.S. And this forum suggests it continues to be a lively debate!
Sign in to Reply
dota
9/13/2011 7:20 AM EDT
It is not just government. America is it's own worst enemy. Here is a country that spent $trillions it did not have on a war it did not need in Iraq. Then wall street and bank regulations were removed, the whole stock market is now simply one big slot machine, betting on risk and speculation not growth. Investors money is simply tossed into the slot never to reappear again.
The whole system needs a top to bottom changes and the biggest issue right now is where America fits in to the world. The so called "Third world countries" have really thrown a curve ball where in a globalized environment, they have literally fielded a well educated labor force 3 times larger than America's. Now it is moving high tech and these countries are investing like crazy on technology. America has never been in this position before, but it has to rise to the challenge. There is no options but for the government to invest in education and technology in a public-private partnership like China. If we don't, China will and then worse times will be had. Whatever needs to be done, has to be done. There is no going back to the good old days, they are gone forever!
Sign in to Reply
Price.David
9/13/2011 8:37 AM EDT
Yes and who implemented all of these things?
Sign in to Reply
rickw4s
9/13/2011 5:41 PM EDT
YES! It is America that's America's worst enemy!
How many Americans still believe that supply-side economics work? (Reagan & Bush 2 proved it doesn't)
How many Americans don't believe in science? (climate change and evolution are good examples)
How many Americans believe what politicians tell us?
Sign in to Reply
Price.David
9/13/2011 7:42 AM EDT
So what the hell are you doing about it? just complainuing about politicians? In the 1980 things were very bleak (I personally was unemployed for 2 years)and then came along 2 engineers 1 software and 1 hardware that form the computer industry that fueled the boom of the 1990s, along with cell phones and the internet that also helped the 90's growth. The engineers of this country need to forget about goverment, they are not going to help us!, let's put on our thinking caps and create that next industry that will pull us out of this funk!
Sign in to Reply
KB3001
9/13/2011 12:40 PM EDT
Engineers need also to learn about business and business management. You can put on your thinking cap all you want, but unless you can successfully execute a business model based on your idea, someone else will reap the rewards in the end.
Sign in to Reply
Price.David
9/13/2011 3:32 PM EDT
very good point!
Sign in to Reply
dota
9/14/2011 6:03 AM EDT
What am I doing about it ? put my thinking hat on and creating a stsrtup in power electronics just as you have suggested, without government help I might add. BTW The boom in the 90's was based on the Internet so too is todays tech boom, all courtesy of Uncle Sam's pocket. You see not all government is bad, but there is definitely a lot of waste that needs to be redirected for the next wave of tech.
Sign in to Reply
dano12
9/13/2011 2:37 PM EDT
The only way the U.S. will create jobs is by increase tariffs and cancelling all free trade agreements. The tariffs could be refunded at the retailer level so the consumer doesn't see it. Colleges don't create jobs. Free trade only creates jobs in other countries. The so called economic experts keep saying that this is the worst downturn ever and can't figure out that outsourcing of jobs have destroyed our economy. How's it free trade when it almost all from China. If the U.S. isn't making anything then what are we trading? Our future.
Sign in to Reply
ibm221
9/14/2011 1:11 AM EDT
Free trade creates many US jobs, intel etc. the other sector of US economy is just slow to take the benefit.
ie. easier travel visa for chinese, there are plenty of chinese buying LVs (real one) and willing to pay US a visit and spend some cashes there. yet blocked by tough restrictions.
US is losing billions in hotel-ticket jobs here.
another example is if americans sell their levi or Lee jeans in china at US price tag, it will create hundreds of US jobs, and no one seems interested...
Sign in to Reply
KB3001
10/2/2011 10:27 AM EDT
That would be a grave mistake! Other countries would retaliate and a global depression would ensue.
As it is, free trade has created a lot of wealth for big corporates and wealthy individuals. The real problem is that this extra wealth has not been distributed fairly. Now that a financial crash has occurred (a problem created by big financial institutions and wealthy individuals) it is the people who have not really benefited from the boom years who are asked to pay off the bill. The rules are dictated by the mighty and the rich I am afraid...
Sign in to Reply
SherpaDoug
9/13/2011 2:50 PM EDT
With highway bridges rusting to pieces, dikes collapsing etc. there is so much work to be done! We need an economic model that lets someone earn a living wage by swinging a paint brush.
From my air conditioned office I look out at the next building and see guys tarring roof in the hot sun. Why do I earn so much more than them? They can't do my job. But I am not willing to do theirs. Even if our pay levels were reversed, I would rather sit here for minimum wage than kill myself out there for $80k more.
Sign in to Reply
seaEE
9/17/2011 7:42 PM EDT
I agree. There is a lot of infrastructure that needs to be replaced. I live in an area that still doesn't have sidewalks on all of its streets, and some of the sidewalks that exist have been covered with blackberry vines and hillside cave-ins. I prefer engineering work as well, but would be willing to see more of my tax dollar go to support repairing our infrastructure. At some point, it seems, it will have to be done.
Sign in to Reply
rickw4s
9/13/2011 4:30 PM EDT
I have a few issues with Brian's article:
1. Government stimulus wasn't about "government creating jobs", it was about government increasing funding of road-building, etc. But it's not Government that builds the roads: it's the companies that are funded that hire to build the roads. So the stimulus was a way to get [some] companies to hire.
2. Companies aren't really in the business of creating jobs. They're in the business of creating value for their shareholders by selling goods/services.
3. Eventually companies will hire again when they can't supply enough goods/services to their customers. But when an economy (like the USA) is consumer driven, then companies will only hire when consumers spend. But consumers won't spend when they're unemployed.
4. [as many commenters have mentioned] Displaced blue-collar workers won't go back to school to learn programming, nanotech, etc. And that's especially true for the over-40 crowd. So we'll either have to find jobs they can do or take care of them via wellfare/ unemployment.
Sign in to Reply
Patrick.Fowler
9/13/2011 6:10 PM EDT
Well stated.
Sign in to Reply
davevi
9/14/2011 3:51 PM EDT
"Those people left jobless by technology disintermediation don't shrivel up and die. They do what they have to do: go back to school for more education, re-market themselves, or learn software programming, etc."
- Yet Another anecotal "fact" quoted as justification for an opinion. Hey, whether I agree with you or not, DON'T SPOUT UNATTRIBUTED TRUISMS!
Sign in to Reply
wave.forest
9/17/2011 4:12 PM EDT
Yes, I agree "people with ambition, ideas and the innovator's optimism are the answer."
Sign in to Reply
seaEE
9/17/2011 7:37 PM EDT
I would be curious how many people with ten or more years of industry experience go back to school. In fact that might make an interesting EETimes survey--determining how often engineers have gone back to school and the types of education they have then received.
Sign in to Reply
bcarso
9/20/2011 12:06 PM EDT
I am amazed this thread is still going! Perhaps too many of us have too much time on our hands (I know I do!). But along with many other good points made, one that has barely been touched on is the difficulty of doing business planning in a highly uncertain environment. The capriciousness of Congress and the President, the extreme factionalism directed toward getting one's favored candidates elected at all costs, are in some ways analogous to the quarter-results-driven policies of publicly-held corporations --- just on a different characteristic time scale. Long-term planning is essential, and if it is thwarted the fallback position is usually to do as little as possible.
Sign in to Reply
Etmax
9/29/2011 12:17 PM EDT
Someone is kidding themselves, those poor meter readers are probably not capable of becoming engineers, at least not engineers that can really design things. It's the long line of people that lost low skill jobs and can't find any more that are going to suffer. At the same time skill shortages will ensue in the areas where jobs are created
Sign in to Reply