News & Analysis
IBM Fellow: Moore's Law defunct
R Colin Johnson
4/7/2009 6:05 PM EDT
Eric Soenen, director of TSMC's Austin Design Center, said the most critical aspect of analog design was good layout techniques, especially those using smart matching, shielding and spacing techniques.
Bosch's Goeran Jerke described a formal framework for increasing the efficiency and degree of automation for analog design tools by representing abstract constraints and automatically transforming them to lower-level design constraints.
A new twist on the annual design contest this year was a clock network synthesis task. Twenty-seven teams (16 from the U.S.) entered, but only nine survived.
"Research in EDA tools for clock synthesis is not as popular as other areas such as placement or routing," said Cliff Sze, contest organizer and a research staff member at IBM's Austin Research Laboratory. "However, clock design automation is actually much more difficult."
The task involved distributing a 2-GHz clock across a chip with picosecond precision. IBM evaluated the submissions using seven benchmarks derived from its most recent 45-nanometer designs. It verified results with electrical circuit simulations using open-source tools and the Predictive Technology Model created at Arizona State University.
Of the three winning entries, one came from the U.S.: "Contango", written by Dongjin Lee, a graduate student working in the lab of Professor Igor Markov at the University of Michigan.
"The contest was based on Spice simulation, and we found that even the state-of-the-art analytical models were not accurate enough," said Markov. "We had to put Spice inside our optimization flow."
The two other winning teams were National Taiwan University and National Chiao-Tung University.
"This contest is a first step towards capturing concerns of industrial clock synthesis, targeting rough estimates for real clock skew using Spice simulations subject to power and slew constraints," said Rupesh Shelar, a senior component design engineer at Intel Corp.
Prashant Saxena, the conference program chair and principal engineer at Synopsys, said the new clock synthesis contest should spur new research into areas neglected using more conservative clocking methodologies. The result, Saxena said, will be better algorithms and more highly automated clocking flows.


dirk.bruere
4/8/2009 2:08 PM EDT
I recently threw out an old IEEE Proceedings mag from the early 80s which had a couple of articles explaining on sound theoretical grounds why Moore's Law would soon cease. Apparently, reducing features below 100nm was fundamentally impossible.
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FDunn3
4/22/2009 8:57 AM EDT
How many times have we heard that and yet somehow someone always finds a way around it. Really this is getting old.
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Ozzie013
4/24/2009 11:32 PM EDT
For general semiconductor technology, new system and chip packaging must pave the way for silicon optimization. For processor specific implementations, novel ways to incorporate memory into the intrinsic architecture must be found.
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tpfj
4/1/2010 10:38 AM EDT
I fear this is a case of "fox crying wolf". He may well be right, but no one is listening anymore.
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Eagle Driver
4/1/2010 3:42 PM EDT
I think it's more of a realization of business economics. Today's entry level system would to considered a super computer just 10 years ago. With the explosion of on-line work and games and the current economic calamities, processor prowess is no longer the envy of all users like it used to be. Very few are in need of the cutting edge CPUs and the profits are dried up in this arena, so development will slow down, not solely due to flaws in Moores law.
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Simonstar
5/10/2012 12:10 AM EDT
With Moore's law coming to an end and exponential growth slowing down for chips, perhaps in the near future we will only see a handful of micro chip manufacturers and semi conductors in the world. Only the biggest companies are able to pay the high price of research, and the others might be forced out of the market altogether.
Simon - http://www.starrausten.com
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