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zhgreader
Time flies fast. A year has passed, is there any news about this invent ?
low-energy nuclear reactions
Italian scientists claim cold fusion success
Peter Clarke
1/24/2011 8:58 AM EST
LONDON – Two Italian scientists have reported that they have successfully created a cold fusion reaction that produces energy at temperatures below 1000K through the fusion of nickel and hydrogen.
The process produces energy as it creates a copper isotope which then decays to produce a different nickel isotope yielding further energy, according to an online paper authored by Andrea Rossi and Sergio Focardi of the physics department of the University of Bologna. The two claim to have developed a cold fusion reactor capable of producing 12,400 watts of heat power from an electrical input of just 400 watts. They held a press conference to show off their apparatus working on Friday Jan. 14.
Conventional fusion reactions, where hydrogen is fused into helium, occur at millions of degrees. If room temperature fusion reactions could be realized commercially it promises abundant nuclear energy. It could in theory produce vast amounts of energy from the transformation of relatively small amounts of material and would likely transform global politics.
However, there is a great deal of skepticism around the topic of cold fusion. This has been the case since scientists were unable to reproduce results reported by Stanley Pons of the University of Utah and Martin Fleischmann of the University of Southampton in 1989. Pons and Fleischmann worked on the absorption of hydrogen by palladium.
It is reported that Focardi and Rossi have had their paper refused by peer-review publications.
Nonetheless the reactor showed off by Focardi and Rossi is beyond the research stage they say, and reports quote the scientists saying they plan to start shipping commercial devices within the next three months and start mass production by the end of 2011. Rossi's affiliation on the paper is given as Leonardo Corp. Leonardo (Bedford, New Hampshire) is a subsidiary of Eon srl a manufacturer of electric generators fueled by vegetable oils and animal fats.
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forest14
1/24/2011 11:54 AM EST
Much as I'd like to get excited about something like this, there's several red flags here. Starting with this:
"...fusion of nickel and hydrogen. The process produces energy as it creates a copper isotope which then decays to produce a different nickel isotope yielding further energy..."
First, how can the process release energy in both directions? That makes no sense.
Second, nickel is heavier than iron. I'm not a nuclear expert, but that would seem to be a problem from a fusion energy point of view.
And then this:
"It is reported that Focardi and Rossi have had their paper refused by peer-review publications"
I'm shocked...
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Stillwater
1/24/2011 8:15 PM EST
The binding energy per nucleon (protons + neutrons) peaks at about 60 nucleons (nickel). Below this number, fusion produces energy, above this number fission releases energy. Fusion will produce a heavier element (iron undergoing fusion to produce copper). If the heavier element is unstable and undergoes fission, it will produce energy again.
None of this should be surprising since fusing hydrogen (deuterium) to make helium (a heavier element) produces energy. Fissioning U-235 to produce KR-141 and Ba-92 (lighter elements) also produces energy.
Having seen how the peer review process is frequently gamed and since it is not a double blind process, lack of peer reviewed publication does not impress me either way. Having said this, I remain skeptical about cold fusion.
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EStorms
1/24/2011 11:54 AM EST
The author did a good job describing the results reported in Italy but he missed several important facts. The cold fusion claims were reproduced many times after the announcement by Fleischmann and Pons and over 2000 published papers and several books have resulted that can be accessed at www.LENR.org. As a result, a great deal is known about how this process works. The results reported by Rossi and Focardi apply to the light-hydrogen branch of the phenomenon while the results reported by Fleischmann and Pons apply to the heavy-hydrogen branch, both of which produce energy by initiating nuclear reactions in solids at modest temperatures. This contrasts to the conventional method of using very high energy plasma (ITER) to do the job, called hot fusion. The Rossi claim is the first large scale demonstration of the method, but not the only example. If the method can be successfully applied as a source of commercial energy, the politics of oil will change, the cost of energy will drop, and many environmental problems will go away.
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SallyF
1/25/2011 2:58 PM EST
A fission reaction is mentioned. Are there any radioactive byproducts? Can't assume environmental problems go away with fusion or fission since emissions may leave radioactive by products.
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pixies
1/24/2011 11:56 AM EST
This is indeed very promising news, since it has corroborated the SPAWAR results and maybe even the Pons and Fleishmann results. Cold fusion is the ultimate remedy for our energy problem. I guess nickel will be a hot commodity soon. :)
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Neo1
1/24/2011 12:09 PM EST
Aye aye, I would be very skeptical about such announcements. Not that they might be false but what they claim and what they achieved could be very different things. I really doubt this whole process of cold fusion, if it was that simple wouldn't it have occurred naturally somewhere by now!
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peter.clarke
1/24/2011 12:50 PM EST
According to a Google translation of an Italian press release Focardi and Rossi do not claim to know what is triggering a cold fusion reaction within their apparatus but claim that copper found inside it and the net energy output are evidence that the fusion of nickel and hydrogen is happening.
Reportedly they are also having problems getting patent coverage because the process appears to contradict accepted science.
It is notable that their paper does not describe the apparatus or the process in detail, only the outcomes. But a few months is not long to wait to see if they start shipping units, or find further problems.
Of course, the patent issues may effect their willingness to ship equipment.
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AbdLomax
1/24/2011 1:04 PM EST
Premature comment is a recipe for foot-in-mouth disease.
This is not a "confirmation" of the SPAWAR work.
The phenomenon reported is different, the only similarity is that low energy nuclear reactions are being claimed, and it's been apparent for some time, as I read the literature, that there is more than one such possible reaction.
The mechanism is not known (or at least not proven, some people think they know) for any of it, so far. Rossi may or may not have a device that is almost commercially ready. The demonstration so far was very limited and many aspects remained secret.
I recommend holding on the handrails and not jumping to conclusions.
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lewisglarsen
1/24/2011 1:26 PM EST
As a participant in the field of Low Energy Nuclear Reactions (LENRs), I have NO OPINION WHATSOEVER about the scientific validity of the recent Rossi-Focardi work. IMO, not enough detailed, independently verified technical information has been released by Rossi et al. to determine whether their bold, albeit sketchily supported recent claims of “excess heat” and nuclear transmutations are true or false. Fortunately, the simple passage of time and greater public availability of vastly more detailed information about their purported technical “advances” and verifiable examples of successful working heat-producing devices will ultimately tell the truth about Rossi et al.’s recent claims, one way or another. Notwithstanding Rossi, I believe that LENRs themselves are real phenomena. We have developed a body of rigorous theoretical work involving existing physics which successfully explains LENRs that has been published in well-respected, mainstream peer-reviewed scientific journals. According to theory, LENRs do not involve appreciable amounts of nuclear fusion --- hot, “cold,” warm or otherwise. A 5-page, highly technical description of the physics 'bedrock' of our theoretical work was published as: "Ultra low momentum neutron catalyzed nuclear reactions on metallic hydride surfaces," A. Widom and L. Larsen, European Physical Journal C - Particles and Fields 46 pp. 107 – 112 (2006) free copy is available at = http://www.newenergytimes.com/v2/library/2006/2006Widom-UltraLowMomentumNeutronCatalyzed.pdf . A 21-page Primer paper, which provides a high-level overview of the entire expanse of the Widom-Larsen theory of LENRs from the microcosm to the macrocosm published in an Indian Academy of Science journal: “A primer for electroweak induced low-energy nuclear reactions,” Y. N. Srivastava, A. Widom, and L. Larsen, Pramana – Journal of Physics 75 pp. 617 – 637 (October 2010) – free copy at = http://www.ias.ac.in/pramana/v75/p617/fulltext.pdf Lewis Larsen, Lattice Energy LLC
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http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/poconoarmchairreview
1/26/2011 1:25 AM EST
I appreciate your going through the trouble of supplying the links to relevant information. Thanks.
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Code Monkey
1/24/2011 3:50 PM EST
Cold fusion is difficult to reproduce, but the resulting transmutation of metals is well established. The fact that they were rejected by a peer review journal says more about the politicization of science than their work. This will be another case where engineering success must come before the science.
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mr88cet
1/24/2011 3:57 PM EST
"Mass production" from a University? This seems to make the claim all the more dubious.
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Roy H
1/24/2011 4:34 PM EST
I suspect that the "mass" will be low volume, but they have a company separate from the university, and they say they have heated their building for more than a year using this device.
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chipmnk24
1/25/2011 5:07 AM EST
Radioactive students to verify the claims too?
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crwilliams
1/24/2011 4:04 PM EST
It's interesting that so much research has gone into making (or trying to make) microscopic stars 'work'; nuclear explosives use lithium as a 'source' of hydrogen for fusion. I would certainly keep an open - albeit healthily skeptical - mind on the possibility of fusion reactions other than light elements.
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Roy H
1/24/2011 4:30 PM EST
This has very similar description and results as claimed by Blacklight Power. Blacklight Power uses a commercial catalyst called Raini Nickel. This is a porus sponge style metal that is highly reactive to moisture. It has to be shipped in an oil bath. Blacklight claims that the reaction results in the Hydrogen dropping to a lower energy state which they call hydrinos and these are given off as a gas. They claim this can be continuously fueled with more hydrogen. There is so much excess heat, that some of the energy can be used to separate H2 from water to feed the unit and still have lots of left over power. This leads to a claim that they could power a car for 1000 miles on 1 gallon of water.
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greg_morpheus
1/28/2011 12:54 AM EST
Respected physicists LOL at the hydrino.
Wolfgang Ketterle, Nobel Prize laureate in physics says "This is scientific nonsense—there is no state of hydrogen lower than the ground state. Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe, and it’s had time enough to find its ground state."
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cescharlau
1/24/2011 4:48 PM EST
"...they plan to start shipping commercial devices within the next three months..."
It will only be a short matter of time before an actual device can be rigorously tested. Am I skeptical about the results? Well, I won't be investing in nickel futures.
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KB3001
1/24/2011 4:56 PM EST
Exciting news! Few more months and we'll know one way or another, although previous experiences do not inspire much confidence.
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Jeff.Petro
1/25/2011 12:45 PM EST
I couldn't have said it any better myself
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kkersey
1/24/2011 5:05 PM EST
They say their tests in the USA (New Hampshire) were witnessed by the DOE and DOD more than a year ago. If the results were real, I'd think that either A) the DOD would force it to go "dark" (seems to not be the case) or the DOE / DOD would provide at least some validation comment (what gives?).
Therefore, as exciting as this sounds -I must remain skeptical until someone can give more details or an independent scientific analysis from a respected source can confirm results.
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Luis Sanchez
1/24/2011 5:07 PM EST
I'm skeptical too.
Too good to be truth perhaps.
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clay_modeling
1/24/2011 5:50 PM EST
I remember how we were skeptical and first doubted Pons and Fleishmann in 1989, because of their sketchy data and confusing claims... but, they ... well, never mind.
It might be true - but it's a long hill to climb yet.
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Tulga.G
1/24/2011 6:07 PM EST
Give them a Nobel prize
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Stillwater
1/25/2011 12:05 PM EST
Scientic Nobels require more substance than the Nobel peace prize.
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Robotics Developer
1/24/2011 7:51 PM EST
I would be happy to see this work, but remain skeptical due to the lack of details. What I find interesting is their claim to "NOT UNDERSTAND" how this works. While I can respect that it does not lead me to believe that they can reproduce it, if they don't know how it works, how can they be sure that they are creating copies that will work? Please bring on the independent tests!
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fznidarsic
1/24/2011 8:21 PM EST
My papers on cold fusion.
http://academic.research.microsoft.com/Author/7519801.aspx
enjoy
Frank Znidarsic
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fznidarsic
1/24/2011 8:26 PM EST
My papers on cold fusion
http://academic.research.microsoft.com/Author/7519801.aspx
enjoy
Frank Znidarsic
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Etmax
1/24/2011 9:01 PM EST
Hmm scepticism aside, isn't it ironic that if this is real that the thought it can't be patented is going to end it?? Time to end patents when they affect the viability of the world. The US constitution had high ideals in mind when it introduced their concept into US law.
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Dave.Dykstra
1/25/2011 12:50 AM EST
As are most others, I am also very skeptical but as noted previously, at least we should only have to wait a few months for the proof one way or the other. Very interesting at the least.
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VinceF.Golubic
1/25/2011 1:12 AM EST
Seeing is believing. If they happened to have a $30 digital video camera(not very difficult to obtain), they might put a few videos on the web showing this device boiling water, running a motor after conversion heat to electricity, or doing something of use. Not exactly a live demo, but people these days like video, not just a printed news story to take it to the next level in "believability" if a live demo is not immediately possible. The web is 75% video these days.
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peter.clarke
1/25/2011 5:44 AM EST
They did...and posted them on YouTube. The meeting was conducted in Italian.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4JUJhkpc3I
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVZR5Qx1KOU
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrgSXSY-PDE
(the noise in this video is a water pump I think)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EdPi7vmA2zw
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VinceF.Golubic
1/26/2011 12:34 AM EST
When a distinguished but elderly Italian scientist states that something is possible, he maybe right, but make darned sure it doesn't get lost in translation.
-what Arthur C Clark might have said
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ReneCardenas
1/30/2011 1:49 PM EST
Does any one know of English transcripts for these briefings, it would be very beneficial to understand their claims, during this presentation.
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martinm_de
1/25/2011 3:15 AM EST
After the failure from Fleischmann and Pons,
I guess scientists do very careful measurements before they claim a success in "cold fusion" . Unless they want to commit scientific suicide.
Let's wheher these guys will become the richest individuals on earth within the next years, or not ...
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hoarfrost
1/25/2011 4:21 AM EST
background neutrons always jump in.
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resistion
1/25/2011 6:25 AM EST
Really skeptical, I mean heating nickel hydride should produce copper signal in standard oven.
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Subhajit
1/25/2011 9:36 AM EST
Theory aside, somebody has mentioned that "metrology" is the issue in the confirmation of the low-temperature fusion hypothesis that several groups (starting with Stanley & Pons) have reported. I guess this has something to do with instrumentation for detection product isotopes and/or precise measurments of heat. Could somebody pls. clarify?
Ever optimistic,
Subhajit Sen
DAIICT
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eric123
1/25/2011 11:45 AM EST
Generally the issue is about the measurement of temperature over time to show that excess heat has actually been generated. Aside from the hot fusion guys who want to see lots of high enegry particles the most interesting claims are centered on excess heat. P&F were outstanding physical chemists which is all about being able to measure heat over time.
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SallyF
1/25/2011 3:08 PM EST
Even if the heat is too low to measure there are methods for detecting trace amounts of the fusion products that would seem to be able to confirm reaction.
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fundamentals
1/25/2011 10:57 AM EST
Modern day alchemists!
This started with Fleishmann and Pons, and a host of others are now following the trail. The medieval alchemy did not work. That was not for lack of technology, but for lack of fundamental theoretical understanding of why it will not work. Cold fusion is just like that. In this case, we understand why (ask any theoretical nuclear physicist), but some people choose to ignore that understanding. They do it for adventure, publicity, or for whatever,...
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tb1
1/25/2011 11:58 AM EST
One advantage of engineering over physics is that you don't have to publish or prove anything to anyone. All that matters is that your product works.
Their paper was rejected, but they claim that they are going to start production. If it doesn't work, then they are hucksters and will make a few bucks off a few naive or curious people. Eventually it will become known whether it actually works or not. If it does, (and doesn't have any bad effects like shooting out neutrons at unsuspecting bystanders) they'll sell many and make a mint and the world will be a better place, and no one will care about the people who rejected their paper.
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tango
1/25/2011 12:54 PM EST
so, you step on a new energy source and your reaction is to give it away to the people or to the governments? And better you know everything it has to be known about it?
I would make some money and protect the invention from copy. Probably I would give it away when satisfied at a certain point.
What would you do?
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StuRat
1/26/2011 9:56 AM EST
Readers of Ayn Rand would contemplate the John Galt approach. Retire from publicity and use the energy to create a private colony.
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goafrit
1/25/2011 2:36 PM EST
I know the Azuris are good soccer players. Engineers? That seems not easy. But if they did, that is a new turn for Italy. More energy for the world, good news and congrats to the guys.
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Conte43
7/13/2011 8:40 AM EDT
First of all, they are 'Azzurri', not Azuris. And if I remember well, Enrico Fermi, Ettore Majorana, Emilio Segrè, Edoardo Amaldi, Franco Rasetti, Bruno Pontecorvo and Gulielmo Marconi didn't play soccer.
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markogts
1/25/2011 4:15 PM EST
"One advantage of engineering over physics is that you don't have to publish or prove anything to anyone. All that matters is that your product works."
I couldn't say it in a better way. I'm waiting a LENR working product since 1989. And today, I'm still waiting, no matter the words of Rossi, Focardi or whoever.
"What would you do?"
I'd get a pool of bodyguards ;-)
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Nando Basile
1/26/2011 5:38 AM EST
Hi, very interesting discussion.
After Fleischmann and Pons, whoever is making such claims without anything solid is very aware to commit academical suicide. The explanation on Youtube were not so bad (I can understand Italian, Arthur C.Clarke would be happy). These guys have spent more than one year to think about whether they should claim or not. Meantime they have made partnership with some external partners, in attempt to secure a possible business.
Whether it will work or not, we all will see, for sure they think to be in a better position than than Fleischmann & Pons in 1989. While staying very skeptic (it seems to me "too be good to be true"), I'm not impressed at all that they claim not to understand how it works. If it works, you patent it at first and then you try to understand why: 99% of the patents today are about flawed ideas. If they don't get patent, there will be no reactor. An Italian guy at beginning of 1900 invented the telephone and emigrated to US to look for funding. Too poor to pay for all the patents, Mr. Antonio Meucci asked for help to a certain Mr.Bell. Mr.Meucci died poor and Mr.Bell passed to US history as the inventor of the telephone. Today everybody has learned the lesson.
To Goafrit: a couple of italian "engineers" that is worth to mention that are not soccer players:
Galileo Galilei (Pisa 17th century), astronomer, was the inventor of the so-called Scientific approach. If today a Scientist is different from a Philosopher is mainly because of him
Enrico Fermi: in 1939, in Chicago, this Italian engineer achieved the first nuclear fission in a reactor, opening the world to the exploitation of nuclear energy and allows us to discuss in this blog.
By the way, that was happening just one year later than the Azzurri had won their 2nd Soccer World Cup, I wonder which was the biggest achievement :-)
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StuRat
1/26/2011 9:59 AM EST
All great truths begin as blasphemies.
--George Bernard Shaw
As an engineer, I am naturally skeptical, but as one of my former chief engineers put it so succintly in a sign above her desk:
"In God we trust, all others must show data."
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wilber_xbox
1/26/2011 6:23 PM EST
ha ha...nice sign post for engineers. I will remember this quote of "In God we trust, all others must show data." There is a nice twist to the usual "In God we trust".
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resistion
1/27/2011 4:57 AM EST
Very appropriate. I quoted the same before: http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0EKF/is_n2237_v44/ai_21150517/
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Ismael
1/26/2011 11:11 AM EST
Even though they tend to be vague, take a look a the U.S. Patent application:
http://appft1.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO2&Sect2=HITOFF&p=1&u=/netahtml/PTO/search-bool.html&r=3&f=G&l=50&co1=AND&d=PG01&s1=%22Cold+Fusion%22&OS=%22Cold+Fusion%22&RS=%22Cold+Fusion%22
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Winston2010
1/26/2011 1:07 PM EST
Very ineteresting.
Slightly edited and condensed text from the patent application:
Apparatus for carrying out a highly efficient exothermic reaction
between nickel atoms and hydrogen atoms in a tube filled by a
nickel powder and heated to a high temperature (150 to 500° C.)
injecting hydrogen into said metal tube at a pressure from 2
to 20 bars.
In an exothermic reaction the hydrogen nuclei, due to a
high absorbing capability of nickel therefor, are compressed about the
metal atom nuclei, while said high temperature generates internuclear
collisons which are made stronger by the catalytic action of
optional elements, thereby triggering a capture of a proton by the
nickel powder, with a consequent transformation of nickel to copper
and a beta+ decay of the latter to a nickel nucleus having a mass
which is by an unit larger than that of the starting nickel.
The present inventor believes that in this reaction is possibly
involved a capture of a proton by a nickel nucleus which is
transformed into a copper nucleus with a consequent beta decay of the
formed unstable copper (Cu 59-64) since the produced thermal energy is
larger than the energy introduced by the electric resistance (used to
heat the tube to initial reaction temperature).
It is believed that the nickel nuclei are transformed to copper
since the mass (energy) of the final status (copper isotope) is less
than the overall mass (energy) of the starting status (nickel
isotope+proton).
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http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/poconoarmchairreview
1/26/2011 1:51 PM EST
You have to wonder, if the idea works, how much protection will this patent offer the inventor in today's world? Intellectual property is often not respected as property.
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 3:45 PM EST
If the idea works, so much about our world will change.
What is the point of fighting about patents and copyrights to get revenue when so much can be very cheap or free?
Cheap energy could reduce the cost of living in a lot of ways, making it possible for inventors to do more with even less, to the point where money ceases to matter that much at all. Robotics has this potential too, see Marshall Brain's "Robotic Nation" essays and his story "Manna" about the ultimate social consequences of innovative electrical engineering. :-)
There was already no net job growth in the USA for the past decade while the GDP still grew 40%. Will that trend continue?
I posted something on the socioeconomic implications of cheap energy to Andrea Rossi's related website, here:
http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=360&cpage=6#comment-20270
A mix of a basic income, a gift economy, democratic resource-based planning, and local subsistence production could be a way forward as the income-through-jobs link breaks.
Whether this particular cold fusion claim pans out or not, broader trends will continue to reduce the need for human labor. Solar cells continue to reduce in cost. Personal robotics continues to advance like at Willow Garage. IBM's supercomputers are now winning at Jeopardy. What is next? I've already seen computers get literally a million times more cost-effective from the KIM-1 my father and I bought back around 1978. What is yet to come, thanks to EEs?
We should be celebrating all these triumphs of engineering cooperation -- except our current scarcity-based socioeconomic model is not designed to widely share all the abundance this engineering innovation can bring.
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Etmax
1/26/2011 6:28 PM EST
The problem is that energy is not the only scarcity on this planet so "free energy" won't make much of a difference. You are right though, we do have a scarcity based system (capitalism). Someone mentioned in regards to the current floods here in Oz that we need to ration to more justly share the resources, and while I see some problems with that, there are probably less life and soul destroying issues with it than what we do now. But then that's a subject for a different thread.
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 7:09 PM EST
While most people think of money as some sort of inherently valuable thing, fiat currency like the dollar is essentially just a rationing system. So, a dollar is in some sense a generalized ration unit. Fiat dollars are also a bit like a Kanban token system used in factories to signal demand -- where you can use almost anything as a Kanban token. So Australia has been rationing for centuries in that sense. Then the issue is, who gets how many ration units and why? See Marshall Brain's novel "Manna" for a description of how rationing might work in a robotic economy with cheap energy.
Cheap energy makes almost everything else cheap because often you can often substitute energy for thought or labor. Need fresh water? Boil seawater or chill it out of the air. Want gold? Filter it from seawater, too. Have garbage? Make it into a plasma and sort it with big mass spectrometer. Want fresh vegetables year round in the city? Grow them in 100 story skyscrapers under artificial lights. Want to make the desert bloom? Grind up rock for fertilizer near a volcano and fly it in. And so on.
Likewise, cheap computing, cheap robotics, cheap biotech, or cheap networking also eventually can reduce the costs of most other things through reducing design costs, labor costs, healthcare costs, and/or coordination costs. And all these technologies are beginning to interact with each other, too, often in unexpected ways. I wrote about that in 2000, but other have as well:
http://www.dougengelbart.org/colloquium/forum/discussion/0126.html
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Etmax
1/26/2011 7:24 PM EST
Hmm interesting thought on how wide reaching cheap energy could be. I hadn't thought of it that way, thanks. I'm still in 2 minds about whether that might not just move the bottle neck somewhere else though. Re money as a rationing system, I'm not sure it's done a good job of rationing so far, the floods issue I mentioned was stores charging $10 for a loaf of bread to ration, so that all of the poor that were affected go without (starve) and all the rich use their wealth to get as much as they want. That's not effective rationing in the sense I was thinking. Saying that there is only one loaf per household per day comes closer to the ideal. This premise holds true for a lot of other commodities that are in short supply. I would gladly discuss this off line with you, because I respect your view and am interested reconciling your understanding with mine, but don't wish to bore others :-)
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 9:11 PM EST
I put together a knol on socioeconomics and technological change (which probably has more than you want to know about what I think on these issues :-):
"Beyond a Jobless Recovery: A heterodox perspective on 21st century economics"
http://knol.google.com/k/paul-d-fernhout/beyond-a-jobless-recovery/38e2u3s23jer/2#Four_long%282D%29term_heterodox_alternatives
It essentially was the basis of the summary I posted to Rossi's website that I mentioned in another comment.
Like an electrical component, a market can only function well if certain inputs and operating conditions are kept within expected value ranges.
No less than Alan Greenspan has said markets don't always work right. :-)
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96070766
In general, what you are pointing to in Australia with food being unavailable to the poor in a disaster is a "market failure" in a couple of ways.
I agree with the idea that markets don't function that well on their own when there are huge rich/poor divides. In general, advanced technology seems to be leading to a concentration of wealth at the moment, like Marshall Brain writes about with robotics. I don't know if cold fusion will accelerate that or not? As patents expire eventually (like for basic computer and robotics technology, but even for basic cold fusion by 2031), I wonder if the pendulum will swing back towards more broadly spread wealth, even without intervention? But would it be too late by then for many people, same as food was priced out of reach during the floods?
You may well be right about there being new bottlenecks in an age of abundance that cold fusion would help usher in even faster. There would be the bottleneck of a scarcity of "attention" (or also even a "Pleasure Trap" as another problem). There is no doubt some truth that every abundance may create some other scarcity. But that is kind of an abstract argument when people are going hungry and thirsty.
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Etmax
1/27/2011 7:43 PM EST
Thanks for the links, I will read them over the weekend.
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katgod
1/26/2011 2:50 PM EST
I think this is a good look at the present state of CF. It would be interesting to get the various take aways from this because this had more to say then just the present state of CF.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nNRB0K_dw0&feature=related
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Stephen.Golemme
1/26/2011 5:31 PM EST
Hmm they aren't sure where the copper comes from? This reminds me of a situation I faced many years ago playing with acids sprayed at high voltage. We had tiny gold deposits showing up in our chamber, which was very puzzling at first. Either we had succeeded in alchemy or something was wrong with the system. After much investigation, it turns out that gold plating on one of the micro tubes was being stripped off and carried by the pressurized acid. Could something similar be occurring with the copper they are finding?
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 6:47 PM EST
According to the patent application, claims they use a copper metal tube to contain the nickle particles:
http://www.faqs.org/patents/app/20110005506
So, that surrounding tube is a potential copper source for transmigration of copper into the nickel through an electro-chemical effect.
With that said, we just don't know enough to be sure if it is real or a scam/hoax/confusion, as there may be good reasons to have a copper tube for heat transfer and there may be no transmigration.
With thin-film PV and other renewables coming along nicely, we don't absolutely need cold fusion in the long term to make the Earth work well for everyone.
Still, I really hope it works, because as a dense energy source, cold fusion would potentially be great for powering flying cars, versatile Earth-to-Moon spacecraft like "Space 1999 Eagles", long-distance ion rockets, or even "Salvage One" hand-made rocket jalopies.
With easy access to the Moon using cold-fusion-powered space craft, then we would also have a ready source of Helium-3 to use for possibly other forms of fusion, too. We'd also have relatively easy access to the asteroids to mine more nickel without environmental worries (even though the main use of space materials would probably be in space).
So, a compact lightweight power source like cold fusion would provide an enormous boost to aerospace engineers and EEs doing avionics work. Demand for their services would soar. :-) All the dreams of the 1950s and 1960s about personal flying machines, asteroidal space habitats, and even living on Mars could finally come true in an affordable way for the masses of humanity. Still, we can do much of that without cold fusion if we want -- it is just harder and requires more patience.
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Etmax
1/26/2011 7:06 PM EST
given the mayhem a car for everyone causes, I wouldn't like to see personal flying machines, the pain would outweigh the benefits. Some 80-90% of the eligible population drives, but only half do a good job of it, with flying the stats would look more like a 90/5 ratio.
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 7:19 PM EST
According to the patent application, they may use a copper tube around the nickel particles:
http://www.faqs.org/patents/app/20110005506
Could the copper migrate into the nickel for electrochemical reasons?
Still, I hope this is really cold fusion because, even as I think we can solve all our energy woes on Earth with renewables, a cheap lightweight power source would let us build Space 1999 Eagles and the long promised flying cars. :-) It could also power ion drives for long duration rockets.
Once we can go cheaply to the moon, then we can mine Helium-3 for other methods of fusion as well. And we could also easily get to Earth-crossing asteroids to mine more nickel with fewer environmental issues. So, if this is true, I predict EEs interested in avionics will have a lot of very interesting job prospects. :-)
(My previous reply seems to have not gone through -- hopefully this is not a duplicate.)
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pdfernhout
1/26/2011 7:41 PM EST
Etmax, you may be right about the potential mayhem, but isn't that the kind of thing EEs (and other engineers) should be good at helping with?
Why can't EEs and others design reliable avionics eventually so that anyone can just get into their flying car, pick a destination, and then just admire the view or surf the web until they get where they are going? :-) Engineers have already have done that for cruise missiles and to an extent for military drones.
If the car thinks it is not safe to fly after examining internal diagnostics, air traffic predictions, and networked weather reports all along the travel route, then ideally it just won't leave the ground (unless maybe you have some special license or other override).
With about 40,000 people killed every year in US highway accidents, and many times that injured, would flying cars designed that way by knowledgeable EEs really be *that* much more dangerous (assuming the engineers were not under pressure to cut corners)? Might such flying cars even be safer than road travel we have now (even as road travel eventually will get safer too with the same technologies).
Still, such well-designed flying cars might be problematical in bad weather (where they might not want to fly in conditions where driving would be possible).
So, even if you are right, at least we can still build better spacecraft. :-)
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Dr. Xiao
1/26/2011 5:47 PM EST
Alpha decay: copper should turn to cobalt.
Beta decay: copper should turn to zink.
Gamma decay: copper turn to Cu.
What decay can turn copper into nickel?
BTW, Azzurri won 4 World Cups: 1934, 1938, 1982 and 2006, only one shy from Brazil.
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Etmax
1/26/2011 6:32 PM EST
Perhaps because it's a fusion process, not decay? it did mention capture of a proton by the nickel? My chemistry is week, but I just wanted to point out that they were talking fusion. Anyhow, time will soon tell.
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zhgreader
1/27/2011 2:16 AM EST
stunning news.
I wish it would have been a real story.
low temperature fusion is many sciencists pursuit and dream.
most of such reactor is finished by adding an inert gas mixing at higher voltage. but all those information lacks in the acticle.
where should we find more information about the story?
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zhgreader
1/27/2011 2:17 AM EST
stunning news.
I wish it would have been a real story.
low temperature fusion is many sciencists pursuit and dream.
most of such reactor is finished by adding an inert gas mixing at higher voltage. but all those information lacks in the acticle.
where could we find more information about the story?
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resistion
1/27/2011 5:03 AM EST
They really need to measure the temperature and potential of the water at different locations. Also check bubble composition, etc.
The fact that this data is secret is suspicious. It shouldn't affect their patent application.
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agk
1/27/2011 11:28 PM EST
Less than 1 cent /KWh is highly efficient and the technology is so good kindly make it available to the Humanity soon.
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ReneCardenas
1/28/2011 11:29 AM EST
From a superficial scan on the referenced documents and additional observations made by multiple labs, it provides enough evidence that more studies and research needs to be done to understand this phenomena and how to harness into practical devices. Before the wild claims start pouring out, the Italian experiment look to rustic in the youtube videos, for me to gain confidence on their claim for a commercial instantiation of their knowledge.
In my eyes, their effort shows that a natural truth can not be silenced; it is just a matter of time for us feeble minds to wrap around the complexity in order to domesticate it.
Human kind evolution, self determination and survival instincts give me hope that this universe will advance many more generations.
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tb1
1/28/2011 12:36 PM EST
Nando Basile, your statements about Antonio Meucci inventing the telephone are refuted in Wikipedia's:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invention_of_the_telephone#Antonio_Meucci
He -did- file a patent, and there was a court battle with Alexander Bell. Antonio's lawyer claimed, after-the-fact, that the invention involved electromagnetism, but his actual patent had nothing in it involving electricity. Because of this, he lost the court battle.
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Nando Basile
1/31/2011 5:24 AM EST
Dear tb1,
please read Wikipedia carefully. It is stated "He submitted a patent caveat for his telephone-like device in 1871, which he chose not to renew after 1874. In 1876, Alexander Graham Bell was granted a patent for the electromagnetic transmission of vocal sound by undulatory electric current". Always in Wikipedia, please follow the reference to http://www.dossena.org/tiziano/meucci2.html where it is clearly statedthat "A U.S. Congress Resolution (H.RES. 692) recognizes Antonio Meucci as the true inventor, but the Canadian House of Commons denies him his rightful position in history.". In the resolution, it is clearly stated "if Meucci had been able to pay the $10 fee to maintain the caveat after 1874, no patent could have been issued to Bell". Interesting enough, you'll find it on Wikipedia in Italian (but the text is in English). The more languages you know, the best you can take advantage on Wikipedia. To finish about Mr.A.G.Bell, those who love Wikipedia can go to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Graham_Bell , where you get an idea of who Mr. Bell was really, and to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Bell_and_Elisha_Gray_telephone_controversy , where you will see that Mr.Meucci was not probably the only one to have something to complain vs. Mr.Bell.
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Wilco Wayne
1/28/2011 8:47 PM EST
I don't believe any of it. It is absolutely a hoax. They would both win the Nobel prize and become rich anyway. Why keep it a secret? Prove it and the world would protect their patent. Prove that copper and nickel isotopes are produced as end products. This secrecy is stupid and is not required to maintain their rights, just their con job.
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VinceF.Golubic
1/29/2011 12:29 PM EST
As a nuclear engineer, after reading more details about device operation, let me just add a follow-on SAFETY comment to my earlier comments. They may have hit upon a process that does produce xP, but they should be VERY WELL ADVISED do an environmental impact analysis of any devices sold worldwide. This includes any product life cycle waste products and their subsequent disposal. I wish them well and that they succeed if subsequent "peer reviewed" tests prove sucessfull.
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Silicon_Smith
1/31/2011 1:09 PM EST
I think there will never be a consensus on safe nuclear/fusion energy. Is the risk worth it? I totally agree.
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unknown multiplier
2/4/2011 10:40 PM EST
Neutron emission is not a desirable characteristic of a nuclear reaction. The transfer to heating is not so efficient (it is uncharged and therefore not easy to transfer energy) but its ability to penetrate to outside victims is a higher risk. I wonder if the neutron emission is more probable than beta decay for some isotopes of these metals like nickel? In other words, maybe they were emitting neutrons naturally instead of following fusion, but the detection was not so obvious until immersed in water, since the water contains hydrogen which absorbs the momentum more strongly from neutrons? Neutron decay is harder to catch, since it does not affect the chemistry directly and its cross-section for ionization ia very small, neutrons being uncharged. But it is the most insidious form of radioactivity.
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resistion
2/5/2011 1:42 AM EST
Yes look for Co and Cu products and can it work without water or hydrogen but use helium instead.
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fznidarsic
3/7/2011 4:23 PM EST
My papers on Cold fusion may be found at Microsoft Academic.
http://academic.research.microsoft.com/Author/7519801.aspx
Frank Znidarsic
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motti2
8/5/2011 7:33 PM EDT
The discussions here are almost funny.
Pons and Fleischman indeed discovered cold fusion, but at very low irreproducible statistics. BFD, the disparaging comments were unaware that the issue with P&F was low less reproducible deuterium loading INTO the metal matrix.
A Navy science team down in San Diego fixed that - low deuterium loading into the metal (Szpak and others) by coplating the metal in heavy water, forming a deposit chock full of deuterium ( high concentration) at the get go in the forming of metal deposit, versus trying to load deuterium INTO a solid piece of cast metal.
The key analogous component of the Rossi technology not discussed here (albeit with hydrogen for Rossi versus deuterium for most other prior cold fusion efforts) is Rossi loads hydrogen at high concentration into his Nickel, by passing the high pressure hydrogen gas over a dissociating catalyst, that forms 2 x H ( monatomic hydrogen ) from diatomic Hydrogen gas.
Why is this detail important? The diffusivity of monatomic hydrogen in metal / Nickel is hugely higher hence loading /concentration of Hydrogen beats the P&F conundrum of P&F low irreproducible hydrogen loading into the metal matrix.
Folks who scorn P&F are fools, not comprehending that their less reproducible results were just due to low deuterium loading concentration, not because the fundamental nuclear reactions were not present.
Excess heat only is one indication of high (cold fusion) reaction rates ( neutron emission, radiation and transmutation are all similar evidence depending on the transutation pathway), and absence of excess heat with observation of the appropriate nuclear lines still is indicating that CF might be present (criteria P&F met even if less reproducible, the physics was seen often enough even if not frequent).
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motti2
8/5/2011 7:36 PM EDT
When Szpak and the rest of the San Diego navy team incorporates huge concentration of D (deuterium) from heavy water coplating to form their metal CF host material, the D concentration in the metal increase from coplating verus trying to inject D /D2 from water as P&F did, makes the neutron rate statistics undeniable from a tiny electroplated metal deposit .
Cold fusion's physics mechanism is unclear, and not generally "accepted" "theoretical" science, BUT the experimental evidence P&F nuclear reactions, and navy Szpak team profuse neutron emission, both actually are undeniable even if folks ignore the data, and disparage the scientists. Rossi seems likely true also.
Rossi I have less direct understanding of the experimental results, but there is the matter that he is increasing the H (monatomic Hydrogen) by dissociating diatomic H2 hydrogen gas by passing the H2 over catalyst materials to do the dissociation of the H2.
Why does this matter? because the diffusivity of H monatomic into heated Nickel (or other metals) is hugely higher than H2 undissociated. Hence Rossi is a gas phase analogous strategy to increase Hydrogen loading INTO the host metal matrix for CF cold fusion to occur at high event rates.
for now it seems that folks who question CF are either uninformed, or possess conflicts of interest of either professional or financial nature.
CF is real, practical engineering of power producing devices is all that is at issue (seems easier with Rossi), even if the theory lags, even if the theory is not generally understood / generally accepted as yet.
Read this patent application of Rossi
to minimize your own ill informed disparagement, it hints enough of the substance, even if the physics theory is not there yet. (who cares about the theory)
http://www.freepatentsonline.com/y2011/0005506.html
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motti2
8/5/2011 7:34 PM EDT
When Szpak and the rest of the San Diego navy team incorporates huge concentration of D (deuterium) from heavy water coplating to form their metal CF host material, the D concentration in the metal increase from coplating verus trying to inject D /D2 from water as P&F did, makes the neutron rate statistics undeniable from a tiny electroplated metal deposit .
Cold fusion's physics mechanism is unclear, and not generally "accepted" "theoretical" science, BUT the experimental evidence P&F nuclear reactions, and navy Szpak team profuse neutron emission, both actually are undeniable even if folks ignore the data, and disparage the scientists. Rossi seems likely true also.
Rossi I have less direct understanding of the experimental results, but there is the matter that he is increasing the H (monatomic Hydrogen) by dissociating diatomic H2 hydrogen gas by passing the H2 over catalyst materials to do the dissociation of the H2.
Why does this matter? because the diffusivity of H monatomic into heated Nickel (or other metals) is hugely higher than H2 undissociated. Hence Rossi is a gas phase analogous strategy to increase Hydrogen loading INTO the host metal matrix for CF cold fusion to occur at high event rates.
for now it seems that folks who question CF are either uninformed, or possess conflicts of interest of either professional or financial nature.
CF is real, practical engineering of power producing devices is all that is at issue (seems easier with Rossi), even if the theory lags, even if the theory is not generally understood / generally accepted as yet.
Read this patent application of Rossi
to minimize your own ill informed disparagement, it hints enough of the substance, even if the physics theory is not there yet. (who cares about the theory)
http://www.freepatentsonline.com/y2011/0005506.html
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motti2
8/5/2011 7:35 PM EDT
When Szpak and the rest of the San Diego navy team incorporates huge concentration of D (deuterium) from heavy water coplating to form their metal CF host material, the D concentration in the metal increase from coplating verus trying to inject D /D2 from water as P&F did, makes the neutron rate statistics undeniable from a tiny electroplated metal deposit .
Cold fusion's physics mechanism is unclear, and not generally "accepted" "theoretical" science, BUT the experimental evidence P&F nuclear reactions, and navy Szpak team profuse neutron emission, both actually are undeniable even if folks ignore the data, and disparage the scientists. Rossi seems likely true also.
Rossi I have less direct understanding of the experimental results, but there is the matter that he is increasing the H (monatomic Hydrogen) by dissociating diatomic H2 hydrogen gas by passing the H2 over catalyst materials to do the dissociation of the H2.
Why does this matter? because the diffusivity of H monatomic into heated Nickel (or other metals) is hugely higher than H2 undissociated. Hence Rossi is a gas phase analogous strategy to increase Hydrogen loading INTO the host metal matrix for CF cold fusion to occur at high event rates.
for now it seems that folks who question CF are either uninformed, or possess conflicts of interest of either professional or financial nature.
CF is real, practical engineering of power producing devices is all that is at issue (seems easier with Rossi), even if the theory lags, even if the theory is not generally understood / generally accepted as yet.
Read this patent application of Rossi
to minimize your own ill informed disparagement, it hints enough of the substance, even if the physics theory is not there yet. (who cares about the theory)
http://www.freepatentsonline.com/y2011/0005506.html
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low-energy nuclear reactions
3/10/2012 9:47 AM EST
The theory of the reactor A.Rossi I know! Received a patent for a new energy method. This is steeper than that of A. Rossi. Method of multi-functional! And the chemical reactor and the reactor low-energy nuclear reactions, and the reactor is controlled cold fusion! Who would have bought the patent and know-how? For free, under the contract.
Теорию реактора А.Росси знаю я! Получен патент на новый энергетический способ. Это круче чем у А. Росси. Способ многофункциональный! И химический реактор, и реактор низкоэнергетической ядерной реакции, и реактор управляемого холодного термоядерного синтеза!!! Кто бы купил патент и ноу-хау? Отдам бесплатно, по контракту.
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zhgreader
4/8/2012 9:00 PM EDT
Time flies fast. A year has passed, is there any news about this invent ?
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