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Larry.Cormier1
The mercury in CFLs is more than offset by the reduction in airborne mercury(a ...
Code Monkey
I'll be glad to see CFLs go. Each dead lamp is mercury-containing hazardous ...
Solid-state lighting coming into focus
R Colin Johnson
3/21/2011 11:05 AM EDT
The speed of SSL adoption, however, will depend on how quickly the cost of ownership can be brought down. Today, typical LED replacement bulbs provide many years of energy savings over their lifetime, but not enough to reclaim their original cost. Sandia National Labs estimates that today’s LED lighting has twice the lifetime cost of ownership of incandescents and 10 times that of fluorescents. But in the decade starting in 2020, the lab predicts, SSL will reach lifetime costs that are one-tenth that of incandescents and one-half that of fluorescents.
The primary engines for cost savings in SSL are the same ones driving cost reduction in any semiconductor technology: higher yields, fewer materials and larger wafers. The near-term throttle holding prices high, according to Veeco, is process nonuniformities that affect yields. In fact, there is so much nonuniformity in LEDs today that they have to be tested and “binned” for color, brightness, forward voltage and other variations that accumulate during the 10-hour, thousand-degree vacuum deposition of a hundred semiconductor layers. Veeco’s MOCVD tool was recently upgraded with a “uniform flow flange” that the company claims keeps tighter controls on temperature, flows and materials composition, giving LED makers up to 90 percent yields for a 5-nanometer bin.
Veeco and other MOCVD makers, such as Aixtron SE (Herzogenrath, Germany) and Taiyo Nippon Sanso Corp. (Tokyo), will continue to increase yields incrementally; those advances will combine with steady improvements in assembly, packaging and the driver chips for LEDs. Meantime, SSL pioneers are inventing multi-LED architectures that they say sidestep today’s yield and binning problems.
Cree, the current SSL leader, had a leg up on crafting such architectural features, thanks to the white LEDs it makes as backlights for mobile phones. Indeed, Cree holds intellectual property that prevents other LED makers from using its secret sauce: silicon carbide (SiC) wafers whose lattice mismatch with gallium nitride gives Cree a claimed competitive advantage over competitors using sapphire wafers.
The architectural features Cree uses to sidestep the yield and binning problems let the company prequalify LEDs internally before combining them into multidie LED components. Cree uses two architectures, TrueWhite and EasyWhite, that together “allow us to make use of almost every LED we make,” said Scheidt. “We can use LEDs that would ordinarily be too far off [spec], but which can be made usable by mixing them with other LEDs in same package.”
TrueWhite is a hybrid approach using a phosphor-corrected LED (pc-LED), tuned to provide a greenish light, matched to a separate, red LED. Together they provide warm white light that Cree claims is even more appealing than the light from some expensive halogen bulbs, achieving a color rendering accuracy of 90 on the CRI scale of 0 to 100. Cree proved its TrueWhite architecture in its downlights, which have outsold all other solid-state lights combined.
For less expensive luminaires, Cree’s EasyWhite architecture matches LEDs binned as overly greenish with others binned as overly reddish, then combines them into the same package with a dozen or more complementary dice to create a consistently pleasing hue of white light at a relatively low cost. Color rendering accuracy comes in at about 80 CRI.

While the conventional light bulb is an electrical device, Cree's TrueWhite A19 prototype is chock full of electronics.
SOURCE: Cree

Cree's LED prototype swap-in for the A19 incandescent bulb won't burn your fingers during replacements.
SOURCE: Cree
The final hurdle to cost reduction in LEDs—manufacturing on larger wafers—will be cleared only as SSL volumes ramp to a level that justifies the transition. Most of the LEDs sold in today’s $10 billion market are manufactured on 2- to 4-inch wafers (about 10,000 LEDs fit on a 4-inch wafer). A series of milestones is planned for transitioning to 6-inch, 8-inch and larger wafers as volumes ramp.
“Today the primary engineering problems with LEDs involve reducing cost, since brightness is already approaching the 150-lumen/watt level, which makes them the brightest available light source,” said Alexei Erchak, chief technology officer at Luminus Devices. “Unfortunately, LEDs are still way more expensive than conventional lighting technologies. But the gap is decreasing.”
Luminus Devices has already migrated its LEDs to 4-inch sapphire wafers and will move to 6-inch wafers over the next few years. Rather than use multiple LED dice in the same package, the company prefers to cut costs by using extra-large dice so that fewer LEDs are needed inside each bulb.
Luminus began its life as a projector company and thus has amassed expertise in making the extra-large LEDs required to power projectors. Borrowing that technology for SSL, it aims to use as few dice as possible—preferably just one—per incandescent or halogen replacement bulb.
The endgame industrywide is to cut LEDs’ cost by as five times by 2020, according to the U.S. Department of Energy’s ”Solid-State Lighting Research and Development: Manufacturing Roadmap.”
Next: Beyond 2020


yalanand
3/21/2011 12:33 PM EDT
Good to hear that LED's have started replacing CFL's. This will definitely give some respite from energy intensive CFL's. I hope the mass production of the LED's will bring down the prices for LED's so that everyone can afford to buy them.
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R_Colin_Johnson
3/22/2011 8:43 PM EDT
The thing I like about the LED luminares is that their light quality is better than fluorescents--at least in the models designed to provide "warm" light. Before I use a CFL, I have to judge whether I can put up with poor light in that location. High-end LEDs rival halogen. But, as you say, the price has got to come down. I'd guess that $10 a bulb would convert most people and $5 the rest.
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chanj
3/21/2011 2:52 PM EDT
The durability and energy efficient are indeed the superiority of LED lighting. Yet, it still need to catch up on price and luminous output.
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R_Colin_Johnson
3/22/2011 8:45 PM EDT
Luminous output is catching up fast--in fact by 2012 advanced gallium nitride LEDs are predicted to become the brightest light source on the planet--even brighter than arc lamps. The price, however, is going to come down gradually as volume ramps up.
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http://aspenlogic.com
3/21/2011 6:40 PM EDT
Powering LEDs doesn't always require DC power supply drivers so the $1bn TAM is probably way to high. For example native AC powered LEDs from Lynk Labs (http://www.lynklabs.com) don't require a driver. Don't believe me??? Check them out.
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R_Colin_Johnson
3/22/2011 8:55 PM EDT
You may have a point, especially for low-voltage AC applications, but the majority of development work today is using conventional LEDs and DC drivers.
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GREAT-Terry
3/21/2011 7:47 PM EDT
LED lighting is a good technology in view of energy saving. We indeed need new process technology to improve the yield and drive the cost down. It is also good to see any breakthrough in OLED which is even more attractive for flexible lighting.
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pixies
3/23/2011 4:07 PM EDT
I do not think LED will lead to energy savings. Although LED is a lot more energy efficient per unit, as the cost of LEDs comes down, people will find a lot more uses for it, therefore dramatically increase the number of units installed. The safety cloth is a good example. Same argument was made for paper when computer became widely accepted, but people end up using a lot more paper.
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Raymond.Rogers_#1
3/25/2011 4:38 PM EDT
Your right except: When the real energy supplies start costing more, then efficiency and low usage starts paying for itself. It does very little good to rant and rave about energy usage or dependency; until the cost is reflected in prices. It might buy votes to keep energy prices low but it's a disservice to our children.
Ray
Ray
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LarryM99
3/22/2011 12:56 PM EDT
I am betting that this is going to happen sooner than 2020. Printed manufacturing techniques are starting to get some real traction, and LED lighting has some real possibilities for the creative design crowd. Maybe it's just my natural optimism speaking, but I see this taking off within 3 to 5 years.
Larry M.
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R_Colin_Johnson
3/22/2011 9:01 PM EDT
You are right except for one caveat--the environment. Every day I hear of a new solution to the "barrier film" problem--today it was nanoparticles that fill-in the pores which allow moisture and oxygen to spoil OLEDs on plastic substrates. Unless one of these "breakthroughs" actually does solve the barrier-film problem, OLEDs will never get printed on web presses, but will always need glass substrates (and thus will never achieve price parity with fluorescent).
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MeirG
3/24/2011 7:43 AM EDT
Mr. Stephan Ohr of Gartner might not be aware of it, but "Ohr" in Hebrew means "light"!
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lulala1234
3/25/2011 2:45 PM EDT
Ga supply will be the ultimate limiting factor.
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Code Monkey
3/25/2011 5:25 PM EDT
I'll be glad to see CFLs go. Each dead lamp is mercury-containing hazardous waste (exempt from RoHS of course) with the vast majority thrown straight into the trash.
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Larry.Cormier1
3/28/2011 9:15 AM EDT
The mercury in CFLs is more than offset by the reduction in airborne mercury(a worse form) savings in energy production (as compared to tungsten lights). And, how do you know "the vast majority" are not recycled?
When LEDs become the dominant light source, will we then have a low voltage DC wired through our houses for light fixturing, eliminating any need for LED bulbs with extra circuitry?
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