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DMcCunney

8/19/2012 12:59 PM EDT

@WW Thinker: "The on-the-surface 1% profit is not what Hon Hai and Mr Gou ...

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WW Thinker

8/19/2012 12:33 AM EDT

Rick, please remember one principle that is mostly true (rare exception ...

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Foxconn outfoxes Sharp’s sharpest

Junko Yoshida

8/13/2012 4:20 PM EDT

What the two companies must do now
To fuel its uncertainty, last Thursday (Aug. 9th), Taiwan's Ministry of Economic Affairs, which reviews all outgoing investments, announced that it returned Hon Hai’s application for a regulatory review of its planned purchase of a 10% stake in Sharp on the grounds that the expected investment return on the deal "isn't reasonable enough."

Emile Chang, deputy executive secretary of Taiwan's Investment Commission, reportedly said the Ministry’s move doesn't mean the deal has been rejected. The Investment Commission has asked Hon Hai to submit more information regarding the expected investment returns.

Sharp currently couldn’t be in a much worse position to re-negotiate the deal with Hon Hai.

On Aug. 2nd, Sharp announced that the company is expecting a net loss of 250 billion yen in the current fiscal year, prompting a 28 percent drop in share price, to close at 192 yen, 65 percent below the 550 yen-per-share Foxconn agreed to pay for the stake.

Sharp is also under pressure to slash interest-bearing debt, which ballooned to about 1.25 trillion yen as of the end of June. The scheduled redemption of Sharp's corporate bonds is also expected to put a strain on the company's financing.

While the two companies scramble to salvage the deal, I suggest both parties take a deep breath and agree on the basic principle that drove the two companies to talk in the first place.


Taiwan/Japan vs. Korea?

It’s no secret that Hon Hai’s Gou has harbored a naked ambition: build technology prowess at Foxconn that surpasses Korean giant Samsung Electronics. For that, the Taiwan giant needs Sharp.

For Sharp, Hon Hai will free it to spread its wings beyond the domestic market. If Sharp indeed is willing to transfer the company’s advanced, small-to-medium LCD panel technology to a Hon Hai fab in China, currently under construction, the partnership with Sharp should be worth every penny to the Taiwn EMS giant. But if Hon Hai’s true motive is to gobble up Sharp and run it as its subsidiary, Hon Hai is not only losing Sharp’s face but also losing the company’s trust.

This might be the end game for Hon Hai, after all. But if Sharp is really uncomfortable with this alliance, maybe it’s time for the Japanese company to start looking for another investor. Either way, this deal is clearly running out of time.

Related stories:

Sharp LCD-based support plan is up for renegotiation

Sharp to slash 5,000 jobs


Sharp to transfer LCD technology to Hon Hai’s China plant




resistion

8/13/2012 6:23 PM EDT

China actually has a smooth relationship with Korea, which is problematic for Taiwan as an outside player.

http://m.koreaherald.com/view.htm?20120813001413

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junko.yoshida

8/13/2012 9:45 PM EDT

I am still wracking my brain why Sharp was not able to close the deal when the two companies announced the deal in March. According to the disclosed agreement then, the terms of payment was sto take place between March, 2012 through March, 2013 -- but as soonest as the authories allow it.

The longer the two sides waited (or continued to negotiate the deal), the more momentum behind the two companies' agreement appeared to have lost.

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DMcCunney

8/17/2012 2:15 PM EDT

@Junko: "I am still wracking my brain why Sharp was not able to close the deal when the two companies announced the deal in March."

Easy enough. Money.

The business landscape is littered with the corpses of ventures like this that foundered because the economy changed and the value of one of the parties dropped substantially. the other party says "You aren't worth as much as you were when we made the deal, so we aren't going to pay as much!"

Hon Hai certainly has an interest in getting a piece of Sharp, but they would arguably be getting a lot less for the money if they bought at the originally agreed upon price.

I think the question is whether Sharp needs the deal badly enough to cut the price they are willing to accept.

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junko.yoshida

8/17/2012 2:50 PM EDT

Well put. I agree.

Unfortunately, Sharp is running out of both money and time.

Hon Hai now wants 20 percent of Sharp.

See the other story here:
http://www.eetimes.com/electronics-news/4394255/Hon-Hai-now-wants-20-percent-stake-in-Sharp

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DMcCunney

8/18/2012 12:37 AM EDT

I saw it, and commented. It came as *no* surprise, and was about what I'd expect to happen.

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tb1

8/14/2012 2:20 PM EDT

I thought Apple was switching from Samsung LCDs to Sharp (supposedly in response to Samsung's competing smartphones). I would think that this would provide enough manufacturing demand to keep their run-rate high. I'm sure it is more complicated than that, and there are obviously some high-stakes maneuvering going on.

If Sharp's market valuation is a lot lower than their negotiated deal, I can certainly see why Hon Hai would try to back out.

It is like being in the middle of buying an expensive house right when the housing market collapses. If the deal isn't finalized, you do everything you can to get out of it and renegotiate.

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junko.yoshida

8/14/2012 3:33 PM EDT

Yes, you are correct. Sharp is among a few display vendors expected to supply new LCDs to Apple's new products. (LG is another) But that alone, appparently, won't save Sharp. The company's financial trouble has grown much bigger as it kept investing in its fabs over the years.

I won't blame Hon Hai either for trying to renegotiate the deal.

The problem is, I think, that both companies have reached the point of no return, and yet there is little enthusisam left for each other.

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DMcCunney

8/18/2012 12:50 AM EDT

"The problem is, I think, that both companies have reached the point of no return, and yet there is little enthusisam left for each other."

That lack of enthusiasm could be a major stumbling block. The del has changed from being something Shard reluctantly accepted to something a lot like an unfriendly takeover.

Hon Hai may get what it wants and wind up calling the shots, but if it doesn't get the Sharp management and rank and file on board, it may have problems getting value from the investment.

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sprite0022

8/14/2012 8:09 PM EDT

I would bet similar situation for micron/elpida deal to surface soon.

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hm

8/14/2012 8:34 PM EDT

It is sad story. Apple may be catalyst for Sharp / Foxconn relationship. But, Apple may have lost interest and that may be prime reason for this discord.

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junko.yoshida

8/15/2012 10:51 AM EDT

Apple is always a factor. But the problem with Sharp today is much larger than that, I think.

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pcsalex

8/14/2012 9:46 PM EDT

foxing does not pays off always

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goooooost8

8/15/2012 8:31 AM EDT

Thank you for a well written article. Clear and to the point.

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rick.merritt

8/15/2012 9:40 AM EDT

Hon Hai is a funny beast. At one level another great global success of Taiwan, next to TSMC, HTC and Asustek.

At another level, a miserable failure stuck in the 1% profit zone of Taiwan's we-can-make-it-cheaper history, ironically tied like a poorly fed dog to one of the most profitable companies in electronics--Apple.

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junko.yoshida

8/15/2012 10:57 AM EDT

Yes, that's so true, Rick. The company puts itself in a constant rat race for cheaper labor.

In theory, though, if Foxconn can work out a deal with Sharp, the Taiwan contract manufacturing giant could go up the food chain. Developing advanced displays with its parter... at least, from what I understood, that was Hon Hai's original intention of courting Sharp.

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WW Thinker

8/19/2012 12:33 AM EDT

Rick, please remember one principle that is mostly true (rare exception occasionally but don't expect to see this once every 10 years :): successful business always involve a lot of untold dirty tricks and ethics. The on-the-surface 1% profit is not what Hon Hai and Mr Gou actually are making. They have subsidiaries where the real money (lot of it) are being made. For example, the owners of the DRAM manufacturers in Taiwan have subsidiaries who handle assembly, testing, logistics. They are all making handsome money while the DRAM factories are borrowing money from the banks to operate at loss. If you think about this, Taiwanese learnt all these market innovation created and invented by USA who has been at the fore-front of market economy for the past 50 years. The same kind of market innovation also brought us the collapse in CY2007!

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DMcCunney

8/19/2012 12:59 PM EDT

@WW Thinker: "The on-the-surface 1% profit is not what Hon Hai and Mr Gou actually are making. They have subsidiaries where the real money (lot of it) are being made."

Money made by subsidiaries counts toward the parent's revenues and profits, unless you assume the books are being cooked and money is being concelaed.

Hon Hai may actually be making 1% overall, but so what? Different industries have different business models, and different measures of health.

The supermarket business makes about 1% profit, but supermarkets are going concerns. They may make a penny on the dollar, but they take in a *lot* of dollars, and the measuring sticks to apply are inventory turns and return on assets, not profit margins.

Look at Hon Hai that way and a different picture may emerge.

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BOMBOVA

8/16/2012 4:06 PM EDT

i came in, just by the Headline, n looking for the new tablets, with photo=realism, n Samsung's new 2 core processor of 2013, , going to be big changes "again" ten inch display GPS, Aps, n low power, n speed. every other portable devise, is going to be Junk , but isn't that the game that is being played here... i am in a good mood, Cheers readers. love this site. Thomas in Vancouver

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