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junko.yoshida

12/6/2012 10:13 AM EST

Hi, Sanjib. The number "200 million customers" I threw in the story is partly ...

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Sanjib.Acharya

12/5/2012 9:43 PM EST

After a long time I am seeing a strategic decision that is going in favor of ...

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Yoshida in China: Nokia TD-SCDMA phones might bite Apple

Junko Yoshida

12/5/2012 11:13 AM EST

Diehard Apple fans

Moreover, there are many diehard Apple fans in China, where brand-conscious consumers have shown an insatiable appetite for iPhones. It’s important to note that China has already become Apple’s second largest market after the U.S. If an Apple-China Mobile partnership deal materializes in 2013, “Apple could win over 13% of China Mobile’s 3G customers, grabbing sales of 10 million to 16 million iPhones in the first year alone,” Amit Daryanami, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, recently told Forbes.

Of course, China Mobile subscribers could buy full-price iPhones on the open market and use them on China Mobile’s slower 2G network. (China Mobile uses its own proprietary TD-SCDMA standard, hence iPhones don’t now work on its faster network.) To my surprise, as many as 20 million China Mobile customers are believed to be already doing just that.  

How Nokia’s Lumia 920T Windows 8 smartphones might actually claim mind share among Chinese consumers at a level approaching the iPhone is impossible to predict. For now, Nokia has the best chance to leverage its strong relationship with the world’s largest mobile carrier.

In other words, it’s now or never, and Nokia must seize the opportunity.

The Lumia 920T will be available by the end of the year. It will retail at RMB 4599 ($732) without a service contract. Meanwhile, the 16-GB iPhone model without a contract is reportedly priced at around RMB 5288 ($842).
 
China Telecom has been taking orders for iPhone 5 since Nov. 20. China Unicom, its main rival and China's second-largest carrier, has so far receive more than 100,000 online orders, according to the Web site Sina Tech.

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SylvieBarak

12/5/2012 1:03 PM EST

How difficult is it for Apple to come out with a TD-SCDMA compatible phone model though? I shouldn't think it would be that difficult if they really wanted to. But this is a really good deal for Nokia.... while it lasts.

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sbky

12/5/2012 1:33 PM EST

I don't think it would be that hard since both phones (920T and iphone5) use Qualcomm-based chipsets/technology for the modems.

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junko.yoshida

12/5/2012 2:26 PM EST

As I wrote in the story, it's not the technical issue that Apple doesn't have TD-SCDMA iPhones. It's a partnership deal Apple has been unable to make with China Mobile.

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Sanjib.Acharya

12/5/2012 9:43 PM EST

After a long time I am seeing a strategic decision that is going in favor of Nokia. But not sure for how long as 200 million customers in China switch their handset every year! By the way, how is Samsung doing in China?

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junko.yoshida

12/6/2012 10:13 AM EST

Hi, Sanjib. The number "200 million customers" I threw in the story is partly driven by the massive shift currently occuring among China Mobile users swtiching from 2G to TD-SCDMA.

As for Samsung in China? They are doing really well.

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