@prabhakar Why blame the technology for that. Why do you forget the fact that the same mobile helps you to track your kid where is.
Sticking to the topic, I feel the fight will be between android and Apple. Symbian has lot of catching up to do. The projected numbers though looks big but they are easily achievable looking at the pace of growth.
I disagree with you on one point that apps are without commercial interruption.I have downloaded many android apps onto my smartphone most of which has tiny ads popping up. So the trend has already started.
Web Vs Apps ! What about eyeballs and clicks? All these smart phones and their apps are going to make the next generation permanently blessed with sore eyes by continuously watching those tiny screens, and deformed fingers by operating those minuscule QWERTYs. The popularity of an app will then be measured by no of sore fingers and red eyes! While in Television we are moving to bigger LCD and LED screen with less eye strain ,less radiation hazard and here with these mobile apps we are spoiling the young kids who keep twiddling their fingers to send some stupid SMSs !
I don’t think we have a war of “Apps vs. Web” as of yet. But if the trend continues, this topic will indeed be on the cover of Times Magazine. The graph shows some interesting numbers, but I think it is too early in the game.
One can view an application like the bookmark of a browser. This means a universal 'easy button' would be 'what do you want to do' then bring up dynamically a small menu of choices with the default you choose being one or two clicks away. No download, no update, just cloud resident dynamic app. This is also analogous to mail search. I used to organize my email in folders. I no longer do it with the 'search-and-retrieve' flat folder with everything on the server side. Applications will be search-able by keywords. I only need 6 choices under 'what do you want to do?': View/Read, Write, Dial, Play, Transact, Upload. Auto power on, auto shut off. Is there an app for that? Sign me up.
At the rate the number of new apps released is growing, we will soon have more apps than traditional web pages! Selecting among the various, nearly single purpose, apps is difficult at best. At least the free apps can be tested and discarded if they don't meet your needs. The paid apps are a different problem altogether. Organizing all the apps will soon require an app itself.
Well written native apps have a far better user experience than any web apps whatever the platform (iOS, Android, etc.).
After using my native banking app on iOS, I don't want to go back to the web version. I experienced the same with the eBay orTwitter apps. It's not only a page size problem, it the general look and feel. Apps feel less "clunky" than their equivalent web sites.
For me, this debate is like DOS vs GUI 25 years ago.