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Peter Clarke
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Blogger
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
Peter Clarke   11/25/2011 3:43:48 PM
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Malcolm Penn is around. I was with him this morning at a meeting of Silicon Southwest in Bristol. He is now predicting 2011 will be a 1 percent growth year and that 2012 COULD be a bounce year showing 20 percent growth.

mr. fuse
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Rookie
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
mr. fuse   11/25/2011 12:58:14 PM
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As we approach the end of 2011, little has been heard from our gypsy friend Malcolm Penn who ran away from his fortune telling home to join the test company circus. No word yet if he's past the test there or not, all we know is that he has fallen very silent about his 2011 growth prediction of 6% being off by over 300%! Perhaps he should take his crystal ball to work one day and have it "tested".

nicolas.mokhoff
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Rookie
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
nicolas.mokhoff   1/14/2011 7:26:38 PM
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Hey! think of analysts as your local weatherman who can couch computer modeling observations with such soft adjectives as mild, sunny, humid, slushy and so forth. You don't get anxious about bad forecasts unless your life depended on it, right? So with analysts...a little down, a little up; it's all based more on human emotions and less on reasoning. I predict that somewhere there is a silver lining in an analyst's cloud.

eewiz
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CEO
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
eewiz   1/14/2011 2:45:59 PM
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And most importantly these "analysts" get paid 4X times of an engineer and their jobs arent outsourced . Sweet. Aint it :)

KB3001
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CEO
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
KB3001   1/14/2011 11:08:01 AM
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Absolutely, this is the nature of the game. Economics is a semi-science because of that "human" factor in it.

Peter Clarke
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Blogger
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
Peter Clarke   1/14/2011 9:00:58 AM
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@new2coding You've got it. Engineers and market researchers work to different rules. Mainly because engineers stick to predictable linear systems and market researchers prognosticate over chaotic, and difficult to measure data. But if there was ever a market researcher with the accuracy of an engineer he or she would not be in business for long. They would clean up on the world's stock exchanges and future's markets and retire.

goafrit
User Rank
Manager
re: Penn predicts 6% chip market growth in 2011
goafrit   12/16/2010 1:57:54 AM
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Yes, iSuppli said it will drop. Which one to believe now? Getting confused on these non-scientific predictions. But who to blame? None, because the market is stochastic.



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