Breaking News
Comments
Newest First | Oldest First | Threaded View
DrQuine
User Rank
CEO
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
DrQuine   4/16/2011 8:53:58 PM
NO RATINGS
This is starting to sound like the weather report: predictions of doom and gloom with a minimal correlation to the actual weather (and conflicting reports on both sides). Some media are predicting dire consequences of foundry capacity destroyed by the Japanese earthquake or incapacitated by power shortages, while others are predicting a capacity glut. If something this tangible and short term cannot be predicted, what hope do we have for any kind of economic forecasting?

R.J.D.
User Rank
Rookie
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
R.J.D.   4/14/2011 8:29:14 PM
NO RATINGS
In terms of forecasting CJ Muse and VLSI Research (who both take a contrary view to this article leader) both have a much better track record of forecasting and insight than Gartner, who, by my observation, overshoot and undershoot on any positive or negative indicator respectively (usually to hit the news - sucker EETimes!). In the case of over capacity at leading nodes TSMC has a key advantage in its own mask house in that they control the prices for leading masks - too much 4xN capacity? - drop the price of 4xN masks and migrate your 6xN customer etc.

DrFPGA
User Rank
Blogger
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
DrFPGA   4/14/2011 7:41:04 PM
NO RATINGS
Well- I'm sure Gartner will report to us in 2012 how close they were in their prediction.

Rchandta1
User Rank
Rookie
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
Rchandta1   4/14/2011 6:43:06 PM
NO RATINGS
Majority of past analysis and predictions did not happen. Very little chance that this one will realize.

Warren3
User Rank
CEO
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
Warren3   4/14/2011 3:52:04 PM
NO RATINGS
Don't you think we should call out the real culprit @elPresidente - that aliens are controlling our economies... and our weather too?

Warren3
User Rank
CEO
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
Warren3   4/14/2011 3:50:25 PM
NO RATINGS
This situation was predicted in the pages of EETimes back in February it looks to me (by Intel's CEO, "Intel: Foundry business is in oversupply trouble", February 18, 2011). I do sense a contradiction within the report; if node transitions are problematic and yield concerns are real (a'la TSMC 28nm and UMC 32nm) then getting an early start and having excess capacity to make up for yield shortfall would seem to be a logical response). Yes?

jhchang
User Rank
Rookie
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
jhchang   4/14/2011 2:57:56 PM
NO RATINGS
Too many analysts are disregarding the severe and likely long-term effect the earthquake in tsunami in Japan will result in. I would not be surprised if manufacturing companies there have power issues through the end of the year or maybe even early next year. Foundries of course can switch wafer suppliers but qualifying new wafer vendors is not something you can cook up in a month or two.

elPresidente
User Rank
Freelancer
re: Watch out for foundry glut!
elPresidente   4/14/2011 2:18:09 PM
NO RATINGS
Watch out? Maybe if you hold a hedge fund. Come on EE Times. Stop playing Chicken Little with every analyst report. Does a boom in the electronics industry really scare you so much to where it might sweep the unemployed off the street". Your headline should read "Now is the time to queue up new Chip Products". Like we don't have time to fix it with a simple rally cry that YOU are capable of? Instead, it's poop your pants, tuck your tail, yell to everyone like the sky is falling, and hide, like Wall St wants you to do. The last thing THEY want is a boom of hiring during an election year.



Flash Poll
EE Life
Frankenstein's Fix, Teardowns, Sideshows, Design Contests, Reader Content & More
Rishabh N. Mahajani, High School Senior and Future Engineer

Future Engineers: Don’t 'Trip Up' on Your College Road Trip
Rishabh N. Mahajani, High School Senior and Future Engineer
7 comments
A future engineer shares his impressions of a recent tour of top schools and offers advice on making the most of the time-honored tradition of the college road trip.

Max Maxfield

Juggling a Cornucopia of Projects
Max Maxfield
20 comments
I feel like I'm juggling a lot of hobby projects at the moment. The problem is that I can't juggle. Actually, that's not strictly true -- I can juggle ten fine china dinner plates, but ...

Larry Desjardin

Engineers Should Study Finance: 5 Reasons Why
Larry Desjardin
41 comments
I'm a big proponent of engineers learning financial basics. Why? Because engineers are making decisions all the time, in multiple ways. Having a good financial understanding guides these ...

Karen Field

July Cartoon Caption Contest: Let's Talk Some Trash
Karen Field
151 comments
Steve Jobs allegedly got his start by dumpster diving with the Computer Club at Homestead High in the early 1970s.

Top Comments of the Week
Like Us on Facebook
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)