@peter.clarke: if you put these predictions in perspective with the market forecasts for sectors that directly influence the Semi market, many things don't add up! Take EDA for example, which is forecast to grow at CAGR of 9.7% thru 2015. Granted not all of EDA market directly influences Semi products (like PCB design software), a great majority of the applications of EDA is indeed in the chip design segment. So where is this growth coming from, if the end products are forecast only at 4.4%?
Does the forecast completely exclude MEMS sensors and their integrated (vertical / lateral, with logic, memory, i.e., a 'system') markets? Also, even with out memory market, I tend to think the proliferation of low-cost Semi components in everyday appliances (eg., an LED flashlight) will support the growth at equal to or more than the average consumer market growth.
Dr. MP Divakar
European sales in euro terms can be found at www.eeca.eu
For examples European sales in 2010 grew 27.1 percent in U.S. dollar terms but 34.7 percent in euro terms.
However, as far as I know WSTS only considers and reports sales in U.S. dollars.
However, many companies, even when based outside the U.S. report in dollars, which is the leading currency of the semiconductor industry.
A that is sometimes pulled is to switch between dollars and their local currency for reporting quarterly results every year or two....the constant switching makes it harder to compare like with like.
"4% growth in Dollar".
good point - I was always wondering about this - global IC sales are reported in US $ - no question asked
there is a lot of noise (and short/mid term trends) induced due to currency changes - that leaves us with IC units.
Few forecasters break it down in units and ASP -
but currency exchange trends/fluctuations ?
Don't expect too much from the experts - that gets far too complicated