Windows Phone will have 20% market share? I don't believe that for a second. It may be a fine smartphone OS, but consumers haven't responded in the year its been out. What makes them think they'll suddenly respond now just because Nokia got on board?
Looks like Nokia may have picked an operating system because it was not the most popular (or even close) and that in itself is a differentiator. But Frank is absolutely right about the apps ecosystem since that seems to be a major factor in the decision of which phone to purchase (although some people really don't care about or want extra apps).
You're 100% right Frank.... I wish I knew how they came up with those numbers too... but they won't tell me. It's all "based on market analysis and projections"... sigh.
Honestly, and you can remind me of this is 2015... if WP reaches 20% market share... I will eat my shorts. seriously.
Lovely hardware, but what about the apps ecosystem?
Aside from that, what I really want to know is how does IDC come up with these estimates: "Microsoft should see its mobile software grow to take a market share of 11 percent by 2012 and possibly become the second biggest smartphone operating system by 2015, with 20 percent market share, behind Android and ahead of iOS."
Yeah, and the Dow could hit 15,000 in 2012 and 25,000 by 2015. Why? Because an analyst said so...
At the moment, the only feature it can really talk about is maps. Lumia devices will apparently run Nokia Maps, which is arguably the most widely available free mobile navigation service. It also has the most number of languages and country support compared to any other mapping service available today. Oh, and the Lumia 800 comes with in-car navigation, too. Granted, that's not really a reason why people buy new phones... but you never know.
And the camera is pretty great too.
But yeah, Nokia really has to step up its feature set!