I think the other factor to consider in determining if this is a realistic expectation is the "bandwidth cost" of reaching that personal cloud. Wireless providers are putting the brakes on "unlimited bandwidth" plans, and the costs are increasing. Limiting access to that "personal cloud" will in turn limit productivity, which I would think would then limit utilization and acceptance. The infrastructure to allow unlimited, low cost bandwidth just is not there yet. Will it be there by 2014? I doubt it.
"Using a computer to access a computer in the cloud seems like a redundancy to me."
But that's exactly how cloud services are accessed. Reading the article's title, it could be interpreted as meaning that the user device can now be dumb, if we use this supposedly new "cloud computing" model.
But the text in the article shows that's not the case. And in fact, the opposite is true. Even tablets and smartphones are going to multicore CPUs, are they not? Cloud computing (even before it was called that) has always been based on many more smarts in the user access device than in the days of, for instance, analog telephones!!
Using a computer to access a computer in the cloud seems like a redundancy to me. I don't believe cloud computing will totally take over personal computer. Some people may need a less powerful computer and less storage space while keeping most of their data in the cloud and while running high demand simulation in the cloud. Nonetheless, personal computer or equivalent device and connectivity to the cloud will always be found in any household.
I think the title is misleading, especially when considering this quote from inside the article:
"Many call this era the post-PC era, but it isn't really about being 'after' the PC, but rather about a new style of personal computing that frees individuals to use computing in fundamentally new ways to improve multiple aspects of their work and personal lives, ..."
Finally someone disputes this "post PC era" slogan.
So it's all about personal cloud, not about replacing a PC. But in truth, this "personal cloud" has existed for some time now. It started many years ago in corporate IT nets. Then years ago, the buzz was the "home server" idea for home use. One server in a closet at home that would store all your stuff, including music, movies, even digital TV receiver, which could then be consumed by any number of devices in the home. I thought that was not likely, because it would be way too hard for the average joe to manage. (This was even before WiFi became ubiquitous, so it would also have meant lots of cat5 cable installation.)
Since then, services like Facebook, or banks, or store chains, have ALREADY been offering "personal cloud services," so of course that idea is also not new.
So all we're really talking about here is that these "personal cloud services" will be displayed in a more optimized manner, depending what device is used to access them. Go to your bank via PC, and you get one view. Go with your smart phone, and it adjusts accordingly. That idea too is not new. It's been happening for streaming media servers, for example, which try to adjust according to the device is asking for the content.
I think the trend exists all right, but the title of the article is off.
2014 is too early for the PC to be replaced by the cloud. But looking at the growth of data that each person will be generating , such need is well justified.
Instead of having mega data centers handling mega clouds but may be more than 50% useless or garbage data it is high time that there is a paradigm shift to have personal clouds having all the data concentrated , filtered, secured by individuals and a high speed network with powerful servers access these personal clouds based upon the individual permissions.