Research firm NPD estimates that tablets will out-ship notebooks by 2016 due to one factor alone the consumer's desire for more portability.......
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I actually have no problem believing this, because the tablet, a la iPad or Kindle Fire, is more of a consumer toy. Whereas the notebook is a PC, more of a real productivity tool. So why wouldn't a consumer toy outpace the sales of a more flexible and more useful device like a PC?
Since these are significantly different products, the comparison seems wrong. But on the other hand, as others have noted, new devices like the Microsoft Surface would blur the lines.