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Wnderer
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CEO
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Wnderer   7/23/2012 7:38:54 PM
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Read this 1959 Fortune article about the space program. They predicted a man on the moon before Kennedy called for it. Almost everything they predict happened. http://features.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2012/06/03/the-early-space-age-fortune-1959/

Bert22306
User Rank
CEO
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Bert22306   7/23/2012 7:38:50 PM
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Uhh, and you were under the odd impression that the Tesla and the Leaf account for anything remotely close to 50 percent of cars on the road? Or even that their sales are skyrocketing, making such a predicion likely? Perhaps best stick with Apple evangelising?

TarraTarra!
User Rank
CEO
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
TarraTarra!   7/23/2012 7:09:57 PM
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That was exactly my take when I read the headline. He doesn't need to convince the whole world - just the investors forking over millions into Tesla. I can only imagine the marketing presentations from Tesla showing the hockey stick curve (in this case it wouldn't have a handle it would ramp straight up) with TAMs in the 100s of billions.

ttt3
User Rank
Rookie
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
ttt3   7/23/2012 5:35:32 PM
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Uh, the Nissan Leaf and others are already "fully electric". Did you read the article?

ttt3
User Rank
Rookie
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
ttt3   7/23/2012 5:34:24 PM
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Do you own an iPhone? I'm guessing not. Average battery life lasts well more than a couple days with average usage. I'm tired of anti-smartphone luddites exaggerating charging intervals in an attempt to make them seem like the "smart" ones.

eewiz
User Rank
CEO
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
eewiz   7/23/2012 11:57:19 AM
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Yup. I feel Musk is totally aware, current battery technology wont hold up his prediction. He is hoping some new technology will be invented in the coming years to support his prediction.

Neo10
User Rank
Rookie
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Neo10   7/23/2012 11:47:45 AM
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Very optimistic prediction from Musk to say the least. Either he is party to a revolutionary breakthrough in battery technology or he has inside knowledge of Govt policies for the next two decades, else he is just prophesying. Going by ground realities, no, it won't happen for better or worse. He is also totally discounting the fact that gasoline vehicles could become more efficient in due course which would keep the electric option still relatively expensive.

Bert22306
User Rank
CEO
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
Bert22306   7/23/2012 8:05:32 AM
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I think you are under the impression that "fuel cell" is some kind of battery technology. It is not. A fuel cell converts H2 into electricity, which then powers an all-electric drivetrain. Which means, you can get a truly electric car without having to rely on a battery as your main energy source. The problem with H2 itself as fuel, though, is storage. H2, very small atoms, requires very high pressure to store efficiently, plus it also much prefers to escape from the tank. So instead, you store the H2 as a hydrocarbon fuel, a biofuel perhaps or even gasoline itself, and now you have an electric car without the liability of that battery and not limited to the ~30 percent efficiency of internal combustion engines. If the pot has to be stirred, I say let's stir it in this direction.

stixoffire
User Rank
Rookie
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
stixoffire   7/23/2012 7:21:11 AM
NO RATINGS
If man was intended to fly he would have been born with wings, it is impossible to record the human voice. People who can - do. The world is full of naysayers, Ask Goddard, Deming, Ford, The Wright brothers, Edison, the list goes on. When Kennedy said Lets go to the moon. We went - not because it was easy or "could be done in his day" but because he believed it could be done! There is a lot that can be achieved - so please naysayers - get out of the way you're holding up progress.

sprite0022
User Rank
Manager
re: Tesla's CEO: Half of cars will be electric in 15 years
sprite0022   7/23/2012 5:08:54 AM
NO RATINGS
o ok , your bike transforms into a scooter when you take the pedal away.

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