I guess predictions are used as a vehicle to wonder about the future, they don't have any intrinsic value...predicting what would happen in 1-day is not difficult, most of the time nothing would do...the same with weather forecast, the safest one for tomorrow is that the weather will be the same, this is the most accurate prediction...Kris
What is the use of such predictions, except for journalists?
Why is there always someone predicting what will happen in 10 or 20 years? Can anyone tell what will happen in 1 year, or 1 day?
The most favorable prediction is about how much money will be earned. The opposite is interesting too: how much money was not earned because some copied something, because of counterfeiting.
It never is about something social e.g. how many people get a job or families earning more money.
If what the employees earn would be on the positive side of the balance sheet, this would look different and change slowly economics, even improve for people I think.
I am compelled to recall an album "Amused to Death" by one of my favourite artists, Roger Waters... we will all be amusing ourselves with 100Gig home gateways, if it ever materializes in the remaining years of my life!
"Home gateways will hit 100 Gbit/s data rates..." amuses me, if one were to take the extrapolation from the 10Gbps example. The standard was ratified 10 years ago and only now we see servers are shipping in volume (though the switches were available 4 years ago but suffered the wrath of excessive power consumption). Most home users have computers with Gigabit connectivity but data ratesare a couple of Mbit/s or worse. Assuming terabit switching at the core by 2020 in similar volumes at 10Gig switches are today, it would be a stretch to see 100Gig at home gateways, even with exponential scaling in speeds... just my cynical opinion!
I agree. I think "it" will be something that the majority of us will not have seen coming. Coffee mugs or shoes or bicycles with embedded processors, or something that sounds just as preposterous as a smart phone sounded 10 years ago.