Breaking News
Comments
Newest First | Oldest First | Threaded View
sranje
User Rank
Manager
re: Chip market ready for steady rebound
sranje   2/4/2013 7:14:03 PM
NO RATINGS
Iniewski - perhaps a good approach is to look at the track record of different forecasters and their postmortem analysis of difference with actual. For 2012 there was near consensus in January about 7% growth - we ended at 0% I would give a high mark to IC Insights forecasts. They are strongly based on detailed analyses of economic drivers and what I like they do are their postmortem analyses. Explaining what exactly has changed where and how much it contributed to discrepancy. I find this a high quality and integrity approach. Re Databeans - they are certainly well respected researchers, eg., in Analog. What I find somewhat lacking are their definitions of what makes any vendor primarily an Analog IC vendor - hence their Analog vendor ranking is somewhat misleading/confusing. But - that is one person opinion

krisi
User Rank
CEO
re: Chip market ready for steady rebound
krisi   2/4/2013 6:18:58 PM
NO RATINGS
How accurate are such predictions historically?

Peter Clarke
User Rank
Blogger
re: Chip market ready for steady rebound
Peter Clarke   1/30/2013 6:36:20 PM
NO RATINGS
Thanks Mike, Your comments are always welcome. Looking to do a small bit of number crunching myself once the WSTS numbers are out.

Cowan LRA Model
User Rank
Manager
re: Chip market ready for steady rebound
Cowan LRA Model   1/30/2013 6:16:38 PM
NO RATINGS
Hi Peter – the latest run of the Cowan LRA foreasting model, which is based on the WSTS’s November HBR sales numbers published on Jan 7th, 2013, yielded the following sales and yr-o-yr sales growth numbers for 2012 and 2013: $292.992 billion (-2.2 percent) and $309.244 billion (+5.5 percent), respectively. Therefore, the Cowan LRA Model’s sales growth expectation for 2013 is 1.6 percentage points lower than Databean's forecast of plus 7.1 percent. Note that 2012's sales and sales growth numbers between our two forecast expectations are in excellent agreement Note that the WSTS will publish the final (actual) global semiconductor sales result for 2012 at the end of the first week in February. Therefore, stay tuned for my latest 2013's forecast numbers following the posting of the December HBR (Historical Billings Report). Regards, Mike Cowan (Independent semi industry market watcher and developer of the Cowan LRA Model for forecasting global semi sales).



Flash Poll
EE Life
Frankenstein's Fix, Teardowns, Sideshows, Design Contests, Reader Content & More
Max Maxfield

MSGEQ7-Based DIY Audio Spectrum Analyzer: Testing
Max Maxfield
13 comments
In my previous column on this topic, we discussed the step-by-step construction of the first pass at a MSGEQ7-based DIY audio spectrum analyzer for use in my BADASS Display project. Of ...

Karen Field

June 2014 Cartoon Caption Winner
Karen Field
13 comments
Congratulations to "Wnderer" for submitting the winning caption for our June cartoon, after much heated conversation by our judges, given the plethora of great entries.

Jeremy Cook

Inspection Rejection: Why More Is Less in a Vision System
Jeremy Cook
3 comments
Albert Einstein has been quoted as saying, "Everything should be as simple as possible, but not simpler." I would never claim to have his level of insight -- or such an awesome head of ...

Jeremy Cook

Machine Fixes That Made Me Go 'DUH!'
Jeremy Cook
21 comments
As you can see in my bio at the end of this article, I work as a manufacturing engineer. One of my favorite things that happens on a Friday late in the afternoon is to hear my phone ring ...

Top Comments of the Week
Like Us on Facebook
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)