Breaking News
Comments
Newest First | Oldest First | Threaded View
<<   <   Page 2 / 5   >   >>
Greg Thorson
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Greg Thorson   3/11/2013 8:48:00 PM
NO RATINGS
The problem is not with the accuracy of Moore's law or other laws. The problem is with your misinterpretation of the word. A "law" is not a fundamental of nature. It is simply a statement or formula. It can be completely wrong and still be a law.

MikeSantarini
User Rank
Manager
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
MikeSantarini   3/11/2013 4:55:38 PM
NO RATINGS
What's interesting is of course that Moore's law predicts a doubling every 22 months, not 18 months. I heard it from the man directly at a talk back in 2005 at the computer history museum. He was being interviewed by Carver Mead. Google the following "Computer History Museum Presents The 40th Anniversary of Moore's Law with Gordon Moore and Carver Mead." There is a video of the interview somewhere too. If memory serves he explained that originally he had said it would double every two years but a few years later scaled it back by two months to doubling every 22 months. A few years later, Intel's marketing started a campaign in which they were saying that processor performance would double every 18 months (likely from refinements and jumps to half-step processes). In the talk, Moore explained the two numbers got confused and thus most folks wrongly say Moore's law predicts a capacity doubling every 18 mos. It is actually every 22. That said, what does it mean for this study? You can take the reporter out of the investigation, but you can't take the investigation out of the reporter. Cheers, Mike

MEMS, Microsystems
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
MEMS, Microsystems   3/10/2013 4:54:29 AM
NO RATINGS
Moore (personally)with his predictive law enjoyed lot more success than the semiconductor industry......

seaEE
User Rank
CEO
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
seaEE   3/10/2013 4:10:02 AM
NO RATINGS
It's possible that Moore's law may even be applicable into the future, aided of course by Necessity is the Mother of Invention Law. How many nanometer interations are left in silicon, and what will happen after that?

jg_
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
jg_   3/10/2013 1:50:35 AM
NO RATINGS
We need another 'Law', that tracks the media's obsession with the 'sound-bite', and desire to appear educated, to try to disguise the vacuous fluff they write about. Thus there is an increasing divergence of the claims from reality. My Physics teacher, always pointed out that extrapolation was dangerous.

FBMcGalliard
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
FBMcGalliard   3/9/2013 4:56:57 PM
NO RATINGS
Moor's law is based on a short term and totally unustainable condition that market demand drives technological advances. We are begining to hit the limits of they physics, but have not yet even come close to the limits of the marketed hardware. The hard question is whether there can be any breakthroughs the equivalent of phase shift masks and the like. Crystaline like quantum logic structures appear to be a long long ways off.

MClayton0
User Rank
CEO
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
MClayton0   3/9/2013 5:21:24 AM
NO RATINGS
Fuzzy stuff of course. "Predictions are hard, especially about the future."

Chuck Chung
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Chuck Chung   3/9/2013 4:47:22 AM
NO RATINGS
But aren't all "Laws" observational? Example: Newton's Laws are observations about mass, force, and motion.

resistion
User Rank
CEO
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
resistion   3/9/2013 3:37:52 AM
NO RATINGS
Just noticed the y axis. So the laws all suck, essentially.

Comfortable
User Rank
Rookie
re: Moore's Law trumped by Wright's Law
Comfortable   3/8/2013 11:14:09 PM
NO RATINGS
What do you mean by exact science? Exact like in Newton's equation for gravity or Einstein's later revised one? Nothing in life is exact science. Not even ohm's law. But it works well enough today to be a useful tool for getting work done. Moore's law does the same thing and for whatever observable reason it may be.

<<   <   Page 2 / 5   >   >>


Flash Poll
Top Comments of the Week
Like Us on Facebook
EE Times on Twitter
EE Times Twitter Feed

Datasheets.com Parts Search

185 million searchable parts
(please enter a part number or hit search to begin)
EE Life
Frankenstein's Fix, Teardowns, Sideshows, Design Contests, Reader Content & More
Max Maxfield

Feast Your Orbs on My Jiggly Exercise Machine
Max Maxfield
54 comments
Last weekend, I was chatting with my mother on the phone. She's all excited that I'm coming over to visit for a week in November. "I'll be seeing you in only seven weeks," she trilled ...

Glen Chenier

Missing Datasheet Details Can Cause Problems
Glen Chenier
3 comments
It is often said that "the devil is in the details." All too often those details are hidden deep within a datasheet, where you can easily overlook them. When a datasheet reference circuit ...

David Blaza

RadioShack: The End Is Nigh!
David Blaza
123 comments
I'm feeling a little nostalgic today as I read about what looks like the imminent demise of RadioShack, at least as we currently know it. An old ubiquitous cartoon image popped into my ...

Larry Desjardin

Engineers Should Study Finance: 5 Reasons Why
Larry Desjardin
47 comments
I'm a big proponent of engineers learning financial basics. Why? Because engineers are making decisions all the time, in multiple ways. Having a good financial understanding guides these ...