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Design Maturity of the Human Interface - Until the Next Breakthrough
DrQuine   12/14/2013 9:52:57 PM
The iPhone form factor has taken the mobile phone market by storm because it provides an intuitive human interface for viewing and entering information. When virtual displays become cost effective (and we avoid driving each other nuts by projecting our user interfaces on each other's walls) then the display form factor can change dramatically. When voice recognition, mind reading, or gestures are faster than keyboards, mice, and touchscreens then the input side of the form factor can change as well. At that point, mobile phone form factors may become unrecognizable and there may be another explosion in designs. I have a hunch that we are at the pinch point before the next breakthrough. In 5 years we may not even know when people are interacting with their SmartPhone because it is incorporated in their clothing or their glasses.

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my vision
prabhakar_deosthali   12/14/2013 1:17:49 AM
My vision is that the technology will advance to such an extent someday that you won't need even the wearable devices on your body.

You will see in the air on a virtual screen created by a command from your brain , you will hear without wearing  a headphone.

So you won't need a smart phone at all for any communications. Your thoughts will be translated into commands to some wi-fi system and you will receive responses thru the same wi-fi system on your virtual displays and ear-phones.

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Re: When the mobile industry gets to a point of maturity...
KurtShuler   12/12/2013 4:54:26 PM
As is usually the case, the US military has developed some core technology that surpasses what is commercially available, or viable. Here's a pic of my F-35 pilot brethrens' helmet. A major requirement is to give the pilot a virtual realty view looking through the aircarft structure so the pilot can always keep her eyeballs on the target. This means when flying straight and level, you can look through the floor and see the ground!

Beats the heck out of Google glasses, but the technology integration has been problematic: http://www.dailytech.com/F35+Augmented+Reality+Helmet+May+Finally+Reach+Pilots+Thanks+to+Fixes/article24644.htm

F-35 helmet

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When the mobile industry gets to a point of maturity...
junko.yoshida   12/12/2013 4:36:52 PM
I love the photo embedded in this story showing before and after the emergence of smartphones. It tells the whole story right there -- visually.

Wearable is one direction that mobile handset vendors can probably branch out, no doubt. But it may take a few more iterations of wearables to convince handset vendors to follow that path.

That said, I could easily imagine the day when we don't need to carry a mobile handset at all -- because if we want to talk to someone, that modem functionality will be everywhere in cars, in bikes, at home, and on our body...

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Re: Wearable computing is becoming a reality
junko.yoshida   12/12/2013 3:48:26 PM
Wow, a good one! Seriously, look at ALL the bulky equipment  and cables here!

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Wearable computing is becoming a reality
KurtShuler   12/12/2013 12:46:05 PM
I think the trends Bill is describing can be summed up as "distributed wearable computing", where processing power and sensors are distributed over many devices.

Reminds me of grad school back in '96 at MIT when I saw this guy walking around campus: http://www.eyetap.org/wearcomp/ieeecomputer/r2025_6.jpg

MIT wearable computing

Here's one of his papers: http://www.eyetap.org/wearcomp/ieeecomputer/r2025.html

More info on state of the art wearable computing: http://www.media.mit.edu/wearables/


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krisi   12/11/2013 5:28:55 PM
In mature market only price and brand matter...the new applications you are mentioning are pretty nichy for now

As data rates begin to move beyond 25 Gbps channels, new problems arise. Getting to 50 Gbps channels might not be possible with the traditional NRZ (2-level) signaling. PAM4 lets data rates double with only a small increase in channel bandwidth by sending two bits per symbol. But, it brings new measurement and analysis problems. Signal integrity sage Ransom Stephens will explain how PAM4 differs from NRZ and what to expect in design, measurement, and signal analysis.

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