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HardwIntr
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100 millions car a year !
HardwIntr   6/11/2014 9:32:03 AM
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mother Earth will collapse long before this "milestone".

andrewmacleod
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Re: 100 millions car a year !
andrewmacleod   6/12/2014 9:41:39 AM
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we will probably see the adoption of electric and new energy vehicles faster than currently expected which will help. certainly China has real interest in facilitating this.

Bert22306
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Not sure about the age predictions
Bert22306   6/11/2014 6:03:13 PM
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Some of these predictions sound about right to me, specifically the ones about consolidation of auto companies globally, and the increased connectivity. Consolidation of brands happens for several reasons, one of which is that globalization creates a much larger pool of competitors.

Used to be that Fiat, Lancia, Alfa Romeo, Renault, Citroen, and Peugeot (and several boutique brands too) competed, respecitvely in Italy and France, just as GM, Ford, and Chrysler competed in the US. There was enough competition for the relatively insular markets of the time.

With globalization, now each country has so many brands to choose from that the system becomes inefficient. To remain competitive, consolidation is unavoidable.

However I'm not so sure about the demographic prediction.

http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/04/05/world_population_trends_signal_danger_ahead_110414.html

The population of China, they say, is predicted to begin shrinking in 2030. India will surpass China in 2028, they say, and Nigeria will surpass the US by about 2050.

A shrinking population is also an aging population.

So, whether local Chinese demand will spur innovation in China more than in the US is up for grabs, I think.

prabhakar_deosthali
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prabhakar_deosthali   6/13/2014 2:58:44 AM
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In my opinion,  in another 20 years or so, there will be a mass adoption of the public transport systems in most of the developing countries . Most of the urban population today has become weary of using their cars for daily commuting to office and the emergence of the good public transport systems such a Metro, AC luxury buses and may be in future the driverless taxis will actually reduce the demand for personal cars.

 

 

HardwIntr
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HardwIntr   6/13/2014 3:39:41 AM
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Exactly; in my opinion, car is the worst ever solution. It is just a huge waste of resources, waste of energy and the most deadly device on earth. And speaking about China and India, it doesn't scale. It's already a big mess in low density areas in Europe and US, i don't imagine what it will be in developing countries. I just hope they won't repeat the same errors. Car is just an unsustainable solution. Do you want a clue? Already, most big towns in Europe are slowly closing their doors to cars, and switching to bikes and public transport systems. I could go on and on.

resistion
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automotive is not green
resistion   6/13/2014 10:25:56 AM
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I agree, which makes me worry there is a great deal of attraction to the automotive electronics market. It's understandable the electronics industry sees a great market in turning the car into a transporting smartphone, but it's the worst thing for the world. The smartphone is already terrible in itself, degrading human interactions all over the world.

HardwIntr
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cars are already deadly weapons
HardwIntr   6/13/2014 1:23:03 PM
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and it's getting worse when drivers are talking with their smartphones ; i don't even talk about texting ...  In my opinion, cars are incompatible with electronics gadgets. I just don't get it how it is allowed to drive a 2 tonne car at speed while playing with a smartphone or watching  any screen.



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