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GaAs device sector set for 5% fall in '09
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EE Times Europe


LONDON — The Gallium Arsenide device market will face a 5 percent decline next year compared to 2008 according to market research group Strategy Analytics.

However, the researchers still maintain that this year will see a growth of 9 percent, with the GaAs industry growing to $3.9 billion from $3.5 billion in 2007.

Growth is expected to return in 2010, with the GaAs device market growing at a reduced compound annual average growth rate (CAAGR) of 7 percent through 2012, against the previously forecasted CAAGR of 9 percent.

The corresponding demand for GaAs substrates will decline by 10 percent in 2009, with growth returning in 2010. Strategy Analytics' latest forecast suggests substrate demand will grow at a CAAGR of 4 percent through 2012.

"Negative growth in handset shipments for the next year, along with slowdowns in other markets, will slow GaAs industry growth over our earlier projections," said Asif Anwar at Strategy Analytics. "However, we maintain that the overall metrics for the industry remain strong and we are not going to see the industry collapse as it did in 2001."

Some key points from the revised outlook suggests that demand from the military sector will not be impacted through 2012 due to a healthy backlog in the supply chain; that the cellular handset market will continue to drive around 70 percent of GaAs device demand through 2012; and that the Wi-Fi market will still grow to be the second largest market for GaAs in 2012 with the market growing at a CAAGR of 20 percent through 2012.

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