SAN JOSE, Calif. -- Is there a recovery in NAND flash? Not yet, but product prices are going up.
For some time, NAND flash vendors have been engulfed in a major downturn, due to lackluster demand and a glut of capacity. Vendors are spilling red ink, including even mighty Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.
The overall average selling price for NAND dropped by 32 percent in the fourth quarter alone, according to the DRAMeXchange. Total sales of NAND flash for ''branded products'' were $2.227 billion, down 19.3 percent quarter-over-quarter, according to the firm.
But now, some see a recovery in the third quarter of this year. Others don't.
Suddenly, however, NAND flash prices have been on the rise for about two months, with the majority of product tags up about 5 percent over the last week, said Joseph Unsworth, an analyst with Gartner Inc. (Stamford, Conn.).
The price recovery has been led by 8-Gbit, multi-level cell (MLC) products, which have jumped by up to 22.7 percent on the spot market over the last week, according to the firm. For the seven-day period ended Feb. 13, 8-Gbit MLC has ranged from $2.70 to $3.00.
The recovery has also been led by 8-Gbit, single-level cell (SLC) products, which have jumped by up to 19.2 percent on the spot market over the last week, according to the firm. For the seven-day period ended Feb. 13, 8-Gbit MLC has ranged from $3.10 to $5.60.
''The stable pricing environment is encouraging for NAND flash vendors, all of which are in the process of migrating to finer-process geometries to reduce costs,'' Unsworth said in a report.
''The NAND industry appears to be poised for a price recovery, but it will be tenuous for three reasons: (1) a barren demand environment; (2) quick capacity additions by raising depressed utilization rates, and (3)
price increases temper end demand,'' he said.