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Space Business Rising, Experts Say

By   07.28.2014 0

SAN JOSE, Calif. — Emerging efforts to forge a business out of exploring space are making progress, but the sector still has — literally — a long way to go, according to a panel of experts.

Private sector companies are now actively resupplying the International Space Station at a fraction of the cost of prior government services. The next big milestone will come when NASA awards contracts for its Orion manned space vehicle programs.

Speaking of the ISS resupply missions, NASA Ames Research Center director Simon “Pete” Worden said “this stuff is going really well.

“The space economy is emerging and we government guys have to get used to the fact we are not going to make it all happen by ourselves,” Worden said at the New Space event here.

He pointed to startups such as Moon Express in Silicon Valley, work on nano-satellites at the University of Michigan that generated a Kickstarter campaign, and efforts from Tel Aviv to Shanghai.

“You don’t think of Lithuania as a space power, but they launched some satellites, and I met their prime minister a few weeks ago.” Worden said. “I was in Jordon recently. There’s great talent around the world.”

The US Air Force is evaluating commercial Falcon rockets, said Daniel Mosqueda, Director of Air Force programs for the Universities Space Research Association. “I can’t discuss some of the companies we’re working with because some of that is proprietary, but we are getting launch costs down to millions instead of hundreds of millions,” he said.

The Air Force also is mulling opportunities to let private companies launch some of its military payloads into space. “That would have never happened in past, but it’s happening now,” Mosqueda said.

Budget cuts in government space programs “were one of the best things that happened — it forced us to figure out what to do, and now we are looking much more closely at lower-cost launch and delivery systems,” he added.

The commercial space movement has come a long way since it was perceived as a bunch of “tin-foil-hat-wearing twinkies,” said Michael Lopez-Alegria, president of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation. But companies need to besteel eyed” about safety.

“We still have to demonstrate success. You won’t make money if you hurt people,” he said.

In recognition of that fact, Richard Branson said last year that he and his children will be passengers on the first commercial flight to the edge of space by his company, Virgin Galactica, scheduled for later this year.

— Rick Merritt, Silicon Valley Bureau Chief, EE Times Circle me on Google+

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rick merritt   2014-07-28 10:52:52

Let me know if you see a new mile marker ahead in commercial space exploration -- especially one that deals with electronics

LarryM99   2014-07-28 12:58:49

As the price goes down for putting up satellites the risk premium for the onboard electronics goes down as well. NASA has been experimenting with using cellular electronics instead of the ultra rad-hardened but ancient and expensive chips that have been used in the past. Likewise, a number of student and hobbyist groups are designing micro and nano satellites around cheap commercial electronics. If something glitches then you try something else the next time. A single failure doesn't cost megamillions of dollars, so people are taking more chances. This is definitely getting exciting.

Larry M.

krisi   2014-07-28 13:09:03

Interesting perspetive Larry...but without rad hard design the electronics will slowly but surely drift our of spec...this is not the question of glitches, it will just stop working, period, due to the damage to silicon lattice, this is not reversable

LarryM99   2014-07-28 13:31:54

Even so, the same argument applies. Previously this type of system failure was catastrophic, because you could only afford to send up a system once. A generation of satellites can be tried, the data on their deterioration can be collected, and an improved generation can replace it. This cycle can be run many times within a fraction of the cost envelope of the budgets of prior systems.

Larry M.

krisi   2014-07-28 13:59:10

I agree...if the replacement operation is economically superior to the extra cost of desiging rad hard in the first place that is teh way to go

selinz   2014-07-28 15:47:32

Unlike "throw away phones" (My most recent throw away was $650!), a few million bucks will probably still necessitate typical space precautions..

resistion   2014-07-28 17:02:39

"lower-cost launch and delivery" On the other hand, "You won't make money if you hurt people". Ok, glad that connection was made.

rick merritt   2014-07-29 01:59:12

@Krisi, @Larry and others: Worden is a huge promoter of nano sats. He noted some sat contractors are still resisting the move preferring to sell a few big $100M giants than trying to sell dozens of $1M nanos, but methinks the times are changing for many (though not all) the sats.

wilber_xbox   2014-07-29 14:33:23

Its a bit sad that any progress comes with a cost and the cost of the various space programs is cluttered satellite orbits and large pile of junk in the space. Hope some one will start thinking about cleaning some of the mess.

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